Sun 23 Aug1-0Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Result: Alanyaspor 1-0 Beşiktaş

Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş finished 1-0. Alanyaspor won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Alanyaspor face Beşiktaş in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Alanyaspor won 1, Beşiktaş won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Beşiktaş win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.2-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.38
68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.23 – 1.61 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.8% 9.4% 7.6% 4.1% 1.6%
1 7.2% 11.6% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0%
2 4.4% 7.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2%
3 1.8% 2.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Alanyaspor winDrawBeşiktaş win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Beşiktaş win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Alanyaspor 29%Draw 25%Beşiktaş 46%
29%25%46%
46%
Beşiktaş Win
54%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Alanyaspor and Beşiktaş. Wins shown from Alanyaspor’s perspective: Alanyaspor 1 · Beşiktaş 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-23 Alanyaspor 1 – 0 Beşiktaş W
2026-04-23 Beşiktaş 3 – 0 Alanyaspor L

📈 Recent form

Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Çorum FK. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Eyüpspor.

  • WÇorum FK 1-2 AlanyasporSüper Lig
  • DAlanyaspor 2-2 GöztepeSüper Lig
  • WRizespor 0-1 AlanyasporSüper Lig
  • LEyüpspor 2-1 AlanyasporSüper Lig
  • WAlanyaspor 1-0 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at home to Çorum FK. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Amed.

  • LAmed 3-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
  • WBeşiktaş 4-1 MarseilleUEFA Europa League
  • WBeşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
  • WFenerbahçe 1-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
  • WBeşiktaş 6-2 Çorum FKSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Alanyaspor

No absentees reported.

Beşiktaş
  • L. TrossardInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Alanyaspor at 29% to win and Beşiktaş at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Beşiktaş win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Beşiktaş Win 46% 50% @ 1.90
Alanyaspor Win 29% 24% @ 3.90
Draw 25% 26% @ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Beşiktaş or Draw at 1.21 (72% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Beşiktaş or Draw 72% 76% @ 1.21
Alanyaspor or Draw 54% 50% @ 1.81

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 78% 76% @ 1.21
Under 3.5 68% 67% @ 1.38
Over 2.5 54% 54% @ 1.70
Under 2.5 46% 46% @ 1.98
Over 3.5 32% 33% @ 2.75
Under 1.5 22% 24% @ 3.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 56% 56% @ 1.62
BTTS No 44% 44% @ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

20%37%54%08/1808/1908/2008/2108/2208/23

Alanyaspor 24%Draw 26%Beşiktaş 49%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

Who is the favourite for Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş?

Our model makes a Beşiktaş win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.6 scoreline for Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş.

What is the predicted score for Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.23 for Alanyaspor and 1.61 for Beşiktaş. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Alanyaspor and Beşiktaş play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.