vs
⚽ Ligue 2
Nantes vs Rodez Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nantes vs Rodez in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Nantes face Rodez in the Ligue 2, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 12:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nantes win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.1-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nantes vs Rodez with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.8% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Nantes vs Rodez is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, the selection our model is most confident in at 86%. On the match result, the model rates a Nantes win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points no (61%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Nantes come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Al Wakrah. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Laval.
- LLaval 2-1 NantesLigue 2
- LNantes 0-1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
- WNantes 5-1 Al WakrahFriendlies Clubs
- LLe Mans 1-0 NantesFriendlies Clubs
- DNantes 1-1 La Roche VFFriendlies Clubs
Rodez come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Laval. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Annecy.
- LAnnecy 2-0 RodezLigue 2
- WRodez 3-1 LavalLigue 2
- LMontpellier 4-2 RodezFriendlies Clubs
- DToulouse 1-1 RodezFriendlies Clubs
- WRodez 2-1 NimesFriendlies Clubs
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Nantes at 42% to win and Rodez at 27%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Nantes win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes Win | 42% | @ 1.70 | n/a |
| Draw | 30% | @ 3.75 | n/a |
| Rodez Win | 27% | @ 4.75 | n/a |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nantes or Draw at 1.18 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes or Draw | 71% | @ 1.18 | n/a |
| Rodez or Draw | 55% | @ 2.10 | n/a |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 68% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 59% | @ 1.28 | n/a |
| Under 1.5 | 41% | @ 3.65 | n/a |
| Over 2.5 | 32% | @ 1.83 | n/a |
| Under 2.5 | 68% | @ 1.95 | n/a |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | @ 3.10 | n/a |
| Under 3.5 | 86% | @ 1.36 | n/a |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 39% | @ 1.75 | n/a |
| BTTS No | 61% | @ 1.93 | n/a |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 43% |
Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.
Expected goals: 1.47 for the home side, 1.14 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (16%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nantes vs Rodez?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with 86% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for Nantes vs Rodez?
Our model makes a Nantes win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.1-0.8 scoreline for Nantes vs Rodez.
What is the predicted score for Nantes vs Rodez?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.14 for Nantes and 0.84 for Rodez. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Nantes and Rodez play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 12:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
