MetzMetz
Sat 22 Aug1-1Finished
LavalLaval

⚽ Ligue 2

Metz vs Laval Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Metz vs Laval in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 12:00 UTC.

Result: Metz 1-1 Laval

Metz vs Laval finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Metz face Laval in the Ligue 2, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 12:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Metz vs Laval with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.25
77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.56 – 0.88 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 8.7% 7.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 13.6% 12.0% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3%
2 10.6% 9.3% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3%
3 5.5% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-0
Metz winDrawLaval win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Metz vs Laval comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 77% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (54%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

56%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Metz

Metz come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Rodez. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at RED Star FC 93.

  • DMetz 2-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • LRED Star FC 93 1-0 MetzLigue 2
  • WMetz 4-1 RodezLigue 2
  • DAnnecy 1-1 MetzLigue 2
  • DMetz 1-1 LavalLigue 2
Laval

Laval come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Dijon.

  • DLaval 1-1 SochauxLigue 2
  • LDijon 3-2 LavalLigue 2
  • LLaval 1-2 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
  • LLaval 0-3 GrenobleLigue 2
  • DMetz 1-1 LavalLigue 2

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Metz or Draw at 1.14 (78% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Metz or Draw 78% 81% @ 1.14
Laval or Draw 46% 45% @ 2.02

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 77% 73% @ 1.25
Over 1.5 70% 70% @ 1.30
Under 2.5 56% 54% @ 1.71
Over 2.5 44% 46% @ 1.98
Under 1.5 30% 30% @ 3.10
Over 3.5 23% 27% @ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 54% 52% @ 1.74
BTTS Yes 46% 48% @ 1.90

📈 How the market moved

17%37%56%08/1908/2008/2108/22

Metz 52%Draw 27%Laval 21%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Metz vs Laval?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

What is the predicted score for Metz vs Laval?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.56 for Metz and 0.88 for Laval. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Metz and Laval play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 12:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.