FC Thun

Sun 23 Aug2-4Finished

Servette FC

⚽ Super League

FC Thun vs Servette FC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Thun vs Servette FC in the Super League. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Thun 2-4 Servette FC

FC Thun vs Servette FC finished 2-4. Servette FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Thun face Servette FC in the Super League, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: FC Thun have 1 win from their last 3, while Servette FC have 1 win from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Servette FC win the most likely result at 77%, projecting a 1.1-3.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Thun vs Servette FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Servette FC +0.75 @ 1.32

93%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.08 – 3.29 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.3%	4.2%	6.8%	7.5%	6.2%
1	1.4%	4.5%	7.4%	8.1%	6.7%
2	0.7%	2.4%	4.0%	4.4%	3.6%
3	0.3%	0.9%	1.4%	1.6%	1.3%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-3

FC Thun winDrawServette FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Thun vs Servette FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Servette FC with a +0.75 start at odds 1.32, with a 93% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Servette FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 77%. Goals lean over 2.5 (81%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Thun 11%Draw 12%Servette FC 77%

11%12%77%

77%

Servette FC Win

81%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

FC Thun

FC Thun come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at FC Vaduz. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Grasshoppers.

WFC Vaduz 1-2 FC ThunSuper League
LFC Thun 0-1 GrasshoppersSuper League
LFC Sion 3-2 FC ThunSuper League
DFC Thun 0-0 LausanneSuper League
WFC St. Gallen 3-4 FC ThunSuper League

Servette FC

Servette FC come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Lausanne. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at BSC Young Boys.

LBSC Young Boys 3-2 Servette FCSuper League
WLausanne 0-1 Servette FCSuper League
LServette FC 0-2 FC St. GallenSuper League
LFC Lugano 1-0 Servette FCSuper League
DServette FC 1-1 FC LuzernSuper League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Thun at 11% to win and Servette FC at 77%, with the draw at 12%. Our model makes a Servette FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Servette FC Win	77%	41%	@ 2.28
Draw	12%	25%	@ 3.75
FC Thun Win	11%	34%	@ 2.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Servette FC or Draw at 1.38 (91% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Servette FC or Draw	91%	66%	@ 1.38
FC Thun or Draw	25%	59%	@ 1.56

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-3.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 81% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	93%	80%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	81%	62%	@ 1.48
Over 3.5	63%	42%	@ 2.20
Under 3.5	37%	58%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	19%	38%	@ 2.40
Under 1.5	7%	20%	@ 4.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	64%	@ 1.43
BTTS No	38%	36%	@ 2.55

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Thun or Servette FC is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Servette FC +1.75	98%	86%	@ 1.10
Servette FC +1.5	98%	82%	@ 1.16
Servette FC +1.25	96%	80%	@ 1.18
Servette FC +1	94%	78%	@ 1.21
Servette FC +0.75	93%	72%	@ 1.32
Servette FC +0.5	91%	66%	@ 1.44
Servette FC +0.25	87%	61%	@ 1.56
Servette FC 0	83%	55%	@ 1.75
Servette FC -0.25	79%	47%	@ 2.05
Servette FC -0.5	75%	41%	@ 2.33
Servette FC -0.75	69%	35%	@ 2.73
Servette FC -1	64%	27%	@ 3.50
Servette FC -1.25	58%	25%	@ 3.81
FC Thun +1.75	53%	82%	1.16
Servette FC -1.5	52%	23%	@ 4.10
FC Thun +1.5	48%	77%	1.23
Servette FC -1.75	47%	18%	@ 5.25
FC Thun +1.25	42%	75%	1.26
FC Thun +1	36%	73%	1.31
FC Thun +0.75	31%	65%	1.47
FC Thun +0.5	25%	59%	1.62
FC Thun +0.25	21%	53%	1.80
FC Thun 0	17%	45%	2.11
FC Thun -0.25	13%	39%	2.44
FC Thun -0.5	9%	34%	2.79
FC Thun -0.75	7%	28%	3.38
FC Thun -1	6%	22%	4.42
FC Thun -1.25	4%	20%	4.65
FC Thun -1.5	2%	18%	5.25
FC Thun -1.75	2%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

FC Thun 34%Draw 25%Servette FC 41%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Thun vs Servette FC?

Our model's main pick is Servette FC with a +0.75 start at odds 1.32, with a 93% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for FC Thun vs Servette FC?

Our model makes a Servette FC win the most likely result at 77%. It projects an expected 1.1-3.3 scoreline for FC Thun vs Servette FC.

What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs Servette FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-3, based on expected goals of 1.08 for FC Thun and 3.29 for Servette FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Thun and Servette FC play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.