Mon 24 Aug2-0Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Kocaelispor vs Amed Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kocaelispor vs Amed in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Monday 24 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Result: Kocaelispor 2-0 Amed

Kocaelispor vs Amed finished 2-0. Kocaelispor won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Kocaelispor face Amed in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Monday 24 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kocaelispor vs Amed with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Amed +1.25 @ 1.26
80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.76 – 0.82 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 20.6% 16.9% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4%
1 15.7% 12.8% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3%
2 5.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Projected score: 0-0
Kocaelispor winDrawAmed win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kocaelispor vs Amed comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Amed with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 80% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (79%), both teams to score points no (70%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

79%
Under 2.5 goals
70%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Gaziantep FK. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Galatasaray.

  • WKocaelispor 2-0 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • LGalatasaray 1-0 KocaelisporSüper Lig
  • WKocaelispor 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
  • WKonyaspor 1-2 KocaelisporSüper Lig
  • WKocaelispor 2-0 AmedSüper Lig
Amed

Amed come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Başakşehir. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Kocaelispor.

  • WAmed 3-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
  • WAmed 5-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
  • DKasımpaşa 2-2 AmedSüper Lig
  • WAmed 2-1 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
  • LKocaelispor 2-0 AmedSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Kocaelispor
  • A. JovanovicKnee Injury
  • B. PetkovicHamstring Injury
Amed

No absentees reported.

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Amed or Draw at 1.61 (65% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Amed or Draw 65% 57% @ 1.61
Kocaelispor or Draw 61% 72% @ 1.28

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 79% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 92% 75% @ 1.23
Under 2.5 79% 55% @ 1.66
Under 1.5 53% 32% @ 2.90
Over 1.5 47% 68% @ 1.34
Over 2.5 21% 45% @ 2.05
Over 3.5 8% 25% @ 3.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 70%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 70% 50% @ 1.85
BTTS Yes 30% 50% @ 1.82

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Kocaelispor or Amed is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Amed +1.75 87% 83% 1.14
Amed +1.5 85% 78% 1.21
Kocaelispor +1.5 82% 86% 1.10
Amed +1.25 80% 75% 1.26
Kocaelispor +1.25 77% 86% 1.11
Amed +1 75% 73% 1.31
Kocaelispor +1 72% 84% 1.12
Amed +0.75 70% 63% 1.51
Kocaelispor +0.75 67% – 1.23
Amed +0.5 65% 56% 1.68
Kocaelispor +0.5 61% – 1.33
Amed +0.25 58% 49% 1.95
Kocaelispor +0.25 55% 66% 1.44
Amed 0 52% 40% 2.40
Kocaelispor 0 48% 60% 1.59
Amed -0.25 45% 34% 2.83
Kocaelispor -0.25 42% 51% 1.90
Kocaelispor -0.5 35% 44% 2.15
Kocaelispor -0.75 30% 37% 2.58
Amed -1 28% 16% 6.00
Kocaelispor -1 25% 27% 3.48
Amed -1.25 23% 14% 6.60
Kocaelispor -1.25 20% 25% 3.85
Amed -1.5 18% 14% 7.00
Kocaelispor -1.5 15% 22% 4.25
Kocaelispor -1.75 13% 17% 5.75

📈 How the market moved

23%36%48%08/1908/2008/2108/2208/2308/24

Kocaelispor 43%Draw 28%Amed 29%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kocaelispor vs Amed?

Our model's main pick is Amed with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

What is the predicted score for Kocaelispor vs Amed?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-0, based on expected goals of 0.76 for Kocaelispor and 0.82 for Amed. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kocaelispor and Amed play?

Kick-off is Monday 24 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.