Granada CF

Mon 24 Aug2-0Finished

Mallorca

⚽ Segunda División

Granada CF vs Mallorca Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Granada CF vs Mallorca in the Segunda División. Kick-off Monday 24 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Granada CF 2-0 Mallorca

Granada CF vs Mallorca finished 2-0. Granada CF won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Granada CF face Mallorca in the Segunda División, kicking off Monday 24 August 2026, 19:30 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Granada CF won 2, Mallorca won 1. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Granada CF vs Mallorca with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.45

83%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.60 – 1.63 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.0%	6.4%	5.3%	2.9%	1.2%
1	6.3%	10.3%	8.4%	4.6%	1.9%
2	5.1%	8.3%	6.7%	3.7%	1.5%
3	2.7%	4.4%	3.6%	1.9%	0.8%
4	1.1%	1.8%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Granada CF winDrawMallorca win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Granada CF vs Mallorca comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.45, with a 83% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

63%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Granada CF and Mallorca. Wins shown from Granada CF’s perspective: Granada CF 2 · Mallorca 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-24	Granada CF	2 – 0	Mallorca	W
2024-03-16	Mallorca	1 – 0	Granada CF	L
2023-08-26	Granada CF	3 – 2	Mallorca	W

📈 Recent form

Granada CF

Granada CF come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Cordoba. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Leganes.

LLeganes 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
DGranada CF 1-1 AlbaceteSegunda División
LEibar 3-0 Granada CFSegunda División
WCordoba 1-3 Granada CFSegunda División
WGranada CF 2-0 MallorcaSegunda División

Mallorca

Mallorca come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to AD Ceuta FC. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Granada CF.

WMallorca 2-0 SabadellSegunda División
DEldense 0-0 MallorcaSegunda División
WMallorca 3-0 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
LGranada CF 2-0 MallorcaSegunda División
WMallorca 2-0 ValladolidSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mallorca or Draw at 1.30 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Mallorca or Draw	64%	70%	@ 1.30
Granada CF or Draw	63%	61%	@ 1.49

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	63%	@ 1.45
Over 2.5	63%	39%	@ 2.38
Under 3.5	60%	79%	@ 1.16
Over 3.5	40%	21%	@ 4.40
Under 2.5	37%	61%	@ 1.49
Under 1.5	17%	37%	@ 2.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	46%	@ 1.98
BTTS No	36%	54%	@ 1.68

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Granada CF or Mallorca is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Granada CF +1.75	86%	86%	1.10
Mallorca +1.5	84%	86%	1.11
Granada CF +1.5	83%	82%	1.16
Mallorca +1.25	79%	86%	1.10
Granada CF +1.25	78%	–	1.19
Mallorca +1	74%	–	1.14
Granada CF +1	73%	–	1.23
Mallorca +0.75	69%	77%	1.25
Granada CF +0.75	68%	68%	1.40
Mallorca +0.5	64%	–	1.35
Granada CF +0.5	63%	61%	1.55
Mallorca +0.25	57%	64%	1.48
Granada CF +0.25	56%	55%	1.75
Mallorca 0	51%	57%	1.69
Granada CF 0	49%	43%	2.21
Mallorca -0.25	44%	45%	2.10
Granada CF -0.25	43%	36%	2.67
Mallorca -0.5	37%	39%	2.41
Mallorca -0.75	32%	32%	3.01
Granada CF -0.75	31%	23%	4.07
Granada CF -1.25	21%	14%	6.80
Mallorca -1.5	17%	18%	5.25
Granada CF -1.5	16%	14%	6.60
Mallorca -1.75	14%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

Granada CF 30%Draw 32%Mallorca 38%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Granada CF vs Mallorca?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.45, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 63%.

What is the predicted score for Granada CF vs Mallorca?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Granada CF and 1.63 for Mallorca. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Granada CF and Mallorca play?

Kick-off is Monday 24 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.