SudtirolSudtirol
Sat 22 Aug1-0Finished
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella

⚽ Serie B

Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Result: Sudtirol 1-0 Virtus Entella

Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella finished 1-0. Sudtirol won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Sudtirol face Virtus Entella in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 2.5 @ 1.47
84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.74 – 0.64 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 25.2% 16.1% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2%
1 18.6% 11.9% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1%
2 6.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Projected score: 0-0
Sudtirol winDrawVirtus Entella win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.47, with a 84% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (84%), both teams to score points no (75%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

84%
Under 2.5 goals
75%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Sudtirol

Sudtirol come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Arezzo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Genoa.

  • WArezzo 1-4 SudtirolSerie B
  • LGenoa 1-0 SudtirolCoppa Italia
  • DSudtirol 1-1 ModenaSerie B
  • WSudtirol 2-0 CatanzaroSerie B
  • DBenevento 1-1 SudtirolSerie B
Virtus Entella

Virtus Entella come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Pisa. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Cesena.

  • DCremonese 0-0 Virtus EntellaSerie B
  • WPisa 1-4 Virtus EntellaSerie B
  • DVirtus Entella 2-2 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
  • LVirtus Entella 1-2 CesenaSerie B
  • LSudtirol 1-0 Virtus EntellaSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sudtirol or Draw at 1.20 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Sudtirol or Draw 66% 77% @ 1.20
Virtus Entella or Draw 60% 54% @ 1.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-0.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 84% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 95% 80% @ 1.15
Under 2.5 84% 62% @ 1.47
Under 1.5 60% 37% @ 2.45
Over 1.5 40% 63% @ 1.46
Over 2.5 16% 38% @ 2.43
Over 3.5 5% 20% @ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 75%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 75% 57% @ 1.60
BTTS Yes 25% 43% @ 2.12

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?

Our model's main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.47, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

What is the predicted score for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-0, based on expected goals of 0.74 for Sudtirol and 0.64 for Virtus Entella. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sudtirol and Virtus Entella play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.