SudtirolvsVirtus Entella

⚽ Serie B

Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Sudtirol face Virtus Entella in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 0.7-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 2.5 @ 1.50
84%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.74 – 0.64 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 25.2% 16.1% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2%
1 18.6% 11.9% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1%
2 6.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Projected score: 0-0
Sudtirol winDrawVirtus Entella win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, the selection our model is most confident in at 84%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean under 2.5 (84%), both teams to score points no (75%).

📊 Key numbers

Sudtirol 34%Draw 39%Virtus Entella 28%
34%39%28%
39%
Draw
84%
Under 2.5 goals
75%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Sudtirol

Sudtirol come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Virtus Verona.

  • DCatanzaro 2-2 SudtirolCoppa Italia
  • WSudtirol 1-0 Virtus VeronaFriendlies Clubs
  • DSudtirol 0-0 1. FC KaiserslauternFriendlies Clubs
  • DSudtirol 0-0 BariSerie B
  • DBari 0-0 SudtirolSerie B
Virtus Entella

Virtus Entella come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Novara. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Carrarese.

  • DHellas Verona 2-2 Virtus EntellaCoppa Italia
  • LVirtus Entella 0-1 CarrareseFriendlies Clubs
  • WVirtus Entella 2-1 NovaraFriendlies Clubs
  • LEmpoli 1-0 Virtus EntellaFriendlies Clubs
  • WVirtus Entella 2-1 CarrareseSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sudtirol at 34% to win and Virtus Entella at 28%, with the draw at 39%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Sudtirol Win 34% @ 2.10 n/a
Draw 39% @ 3.20 n/a
Virtus Entella Win 28% @ 3.60 n/a

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sudtirol or Draw at 1.28 (66% model).

Selection Model % Odds Value
Sudtirol or Draw 66% @ 1.28 n/a
Virtus Entella or Draw 60% @ 1.70 n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-0.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 84% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Over 1.5 40% @ 1.50 n/a
Under 1.5 60% @ 2.55 n/a
Over 2.5 16% @ 2.55 n/a
Under 2.5 84% @ 1.50 n/a
Over 3.5 5% @ 5.00 n/a
Under 3.5 95% @ 1.17 n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 75%.

Selection Model % Odds Value
BTTS Yes 25% @ 2.10 n/a
BTTS No 75% @ 1.62 n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick
Model Match result Probability
Poisson Draw 39%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.37 for the home side, 1.23 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-0 (25%), 1-0 (19%), 0-1 (16%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?

Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, with 84% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 0.7-0.6 scoreline for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella.

What is the predicted score for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-0, based on expected goals of 0.74 for Sudtirol and 0.64 for Virtus Entella. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sudtirol and Virtus Entella play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.