Carrarese vs Mantova Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Carrarese vs Mantova in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Carrarese 1-2 Mantova

Carrarese vs Mantova finished 1-2. Mantova won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Carrarese face Mantova in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Carrarese vs Mantova with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.28

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.75 – 1.51 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.8%	5.8%	4.4%	2.2%	0.8%
1	6.7%	10.1%	7.7%	3.9%	1.5%
2	5.9%	8.9%	6.7%	3.4%	1.3%
3	3.4%	5.2%	3.9%	2.0%	0.7%
4	1.5%	2.3%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Carrarese winDrawMantova win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Carrarese vs Mantova comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 84% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

63%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Carrarese

Carrarese come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 6. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Benevento.

LCarrarese 0-1 BeneventoSerie B
LCatanzaro 1-0 CarrareseSerie B
LCarrarese 0-1 EmpoliSerie B
DAscoli 1-1 CarrareseSerie B
LCarrarese 1-2 MantovaSerie B

Mantova

Mantova come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Sampdoria. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-5 at Palermo.

DMantova 2-2 PisaSerie B
WMantova 2-0 SampdoriaSerie B
DCesena 1-1 MantovaSerie B
LPalermo 5-2 MantovaCoppa Italia
WMantova 3-1 EmpoliSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Carrarese or Draw at 1.34 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Carrarese or Draw	68%	68%	@ 1.34
Mantova or Draw	58%	60%	@ 1.52

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	71%	@ 1.28
Over 2.5	63%	48%	@ 1.90
Under 3.5	59%	72%	@ 1.28
Over 3.5	41%	28%	@ 3.25
Under 2.5	37%	52%	@ 1.77
Under 1.5	16%	29%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	54%	@ 1.68
BTTS No	36%	46%	@ 1.98

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carrarese vs Mantova?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Mantova?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.75 for Carrarese and 1.51 for Mantova. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Carrarese and Mantova play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.