⚽ Serie B

Carrarese vs Mantova Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Carrarese vs Mantova in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Carrarese face Mantova in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Carrarese win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.8-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Carrarese vs Mantova with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.33

84%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.75 – 1.51 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.8%	5.8%	4.4%	2.2%	0.8%
1	6.7%	10.1%	7.7%	3.9%	1.5%
2	5.9%	8.9%	6.7%	3.4%	1.3%
3	3.4%	5.2%	3.9%	2.0%	0.7%
4	1.5%	2.3%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Carrarese winDrawMantova win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Carrarese vs Mantova is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 84%. On the match result, the model rates a Carrarese win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

Carrarese 44%Draw 23%Mantova 33%

44%23%33%

44%

Carrarese Win

63%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Carrarese

Carrarese come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Virtus Entella. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Torino.

LTorino 1-0 CarrareseCoppa Italia
WVirtus Entella 0-1 CarrareseFriendlies Clubs
LNapoli 2-0 CarrareseFriendlies Clubs
LVirtus Entella 2-1 CarrareseSerie B
DCarrarese 0-0 CesenaSerie B

Mantova

Mantova come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at home to Alcione. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Athletic Carpi.

WLazio 0-2 MantovaCoppa Italia
LMantova 0-1 Athletic CarpiFriendlies Clubs
WLegnago Salus 1-3 MantovaFriendlies Clubs
WMantova 6-2 AlcioneFriendlies Clubs
LFrosinone 5-0 MantovaSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Carrarese at 44% to win and Mantova at 33%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Carrarese win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Carrarese Win	44%	@ 2.32	n/a
Draw	23%	@ 3.30	n/a
Mantova Win	33%	@ 2.98	n/a

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Carrarese or Draw at 1.38 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Carrarese or Draw	68%	@ 1.38	n/a
Mantova or Draw	58%	@ 1.57	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	84%	@ 1.33	n/a
Under 1.5	16%	@ 3.25	n/a
Over 2.5	63%	@ 2.00	n/a
Under 2.5	37%	@ 1.80	n/a
Over 3.5	41%	@ 3.55	n/a
Under 3.5	59%	@ 1.28	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	64%	@ 1.73	n/a
BTTS No	36%	@ 1.95	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	44%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.41 for the home side, 1.19 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carrarese vs Mantova?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with 84% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Carrarese vs Mantova?

Our model makes a Carrarese win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline for Carrarese vs Mantova.

What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Mantova?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.75 for Carrarese and 1.51 for Mantova. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Carrarese and Mantova play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.