Avellino vs Arezzo Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Avellino vs Arezzo in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

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Result: Avellino 1-2 Arezzo

Avellino vs Arezzo finished 1-2. Arezzo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Avellino face Arezzo in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Avellino vs Arezzo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Avellino or Draw @ 1.27

83%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.39 – 0.52 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.8%	7.7%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%
1	20.6%	10.7%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%
2	14.3%	7.4%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
3	6.6%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
4	2.3%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Avellino winDrawArezzo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Avellino vs Arezzo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Avellino or Draw at odds 1.27, with a 83% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points no (70%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

70%

Under 2.5 goals

70%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Avellino

Avellino come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Vicenza Virtus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Ascoli.

LAscoli 3-1 AvellinoSerie B
DAvellino 1-1 PalermoSerie B
WModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B
WAvellino 3-0 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
LAvellino 1-2 ArezzoSerie B

Arezzo

Arezzo come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Empoli. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Sudtirol.

LArezzo 1-4 SudtirolSerie B
WEmpoli 0-1 ArezzoSerie B
LHellas Verona 5-0 ArezzoSerie B
LArezzo 2-3 PalermoSerie B
WAvellino 1-2 ArezzoSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Avellino or Draw at 1.27 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Avellino or Draw	83%	72%	@ 1.27
Arezzo or Draw	39%	58%	@ 1.57

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-0.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	87%	75%	@ 1.23
Under 2.5	70%	56%	@ 1.65
Over 1.5	57%	68%	@ 1.34
Under 1.5	43%	32%	@ 2.90
Over 2.5	30%	44%	@ 2.06
Over 3.5	13%	25%	@ 3.65

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 70%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	70%	49%	@ 1.85
BTTS Yes	30%	51%	@ 1.79

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avellino vs Arezzo?

Our model's main pick is Avellino or Draw at odds 1.27, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

What is the predicted score for Avellino vs Arezzo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.39 for Avellino and 0.52 for Arezzo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Avellino and Arezzo play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.