⚽ Serie B

Avellino vs Arezzo Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Avellino vs Arezzo in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Avellino face Arezzo in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Avellino win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 1.4-0.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Avellino vs Arezzo with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Avellino or Draw @ 1.33

83%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.39 – 0.52 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.8%	7.7%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%
1	20.6%	10.7%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%
2	14.3%	7.4%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
3	6.6%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
4	2.3%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Avellino winDrawArezzo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Avellino vs Arezzo is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Avellino or Draw at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 83%. On the match result, the model rates an Avellino win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean under 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points no (70%).

📊 Key numbers

Avellino 58%Draw 28%Arezzo 14%

58%28%14%

58%

Avellino Win

70%

Under 2.5 goals

70%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Avellino

Avellino come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Sambenedettese. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Monza.

LMonza 3-0 AvellinoCoppa Italia
LLazio 6-3 AvellinoFriendlies Clubs
WSambenedettese 0-5 AvellinoFriendlies Clubs
WAvellino 3-1 ScafateseFriendlies Clubs
LCatanzaro 3-0 AvellinoSerie B

Arezzo

Arezzo come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Union Brescia. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Cagliari.

LCagliari 1-0 ArezzoCoppa Italia
WArezzo 2-0 Union BresciaCoppa Italia
DParma 1-1 ArezzoFriendlies Clubs
LArezzo 1-3 AlbinoleffeFriendlies Clubs
DArezzo 1-1 Folgore CarateseFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Avellino at 58% to win and Arezzo at 14%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Avellino win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Avellino Win	58%	@ 2.20	n/a
Draw	28%	@ 3.25	n/a
Arezzo Win	14%	@ 3.25	n/a

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Avellino or Draw at 1.33 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Avellino or Draw	83%	@ 1.33	n/a
Arezzo or Draw	39%	@ 1.62	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-0.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	57%	@ 1.38	n/a
Under 1.5	43%	@ 2.95	n/a
Over 2.5	30%	@ 2.20	n/a
Under 2.5	70%	@ 1.65	n/a
Over 3.5	13%	@ 4.20	n/a
Under 3.5	87%	@ 1.22	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 70%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	30%	@ 1.85	n/a
BTTS No	70%	@ 1.80	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	59%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.91 for the home side, 0.88 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (21%), 0-0 (15%), 2-0 (14%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avellino vs Arezzo?

Our main pick is Avellino or Draw at odds 1.33, with 83% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Avellino vs Arezzo?

Our model makes an Avellino win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.4-0.5 scoreline for Avellino vs Arezzo.

What is the predicted score for Avellino vs Arezzo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.39 for Avellino and 0.52 for Arezzo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Avellino and Arezzo play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.