⚽ UEFA Champions League

AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 26 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

AEK Athens FC face Levski Sofia in the UEFA Champions League, kicking off Wednesday 26 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.3-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.35

74%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.27 – 1.36 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	9.8%	6.7%	3.0%	1.0%
1	9.2%	12.4%	8.5%	3.8%	1.3%
2	5.8%	7.9%	5.4%	2.4%	0.8%
3	2.5%	3.3%	2.3%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.8%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

AEK Athens FC winDrawLevski Sofia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates an AEK Athens FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (53%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Levski Sofia or Draw at odds 2.40 (+50.3% model value).

Best value

Levski Sofia or Draw at odds 2.40, 63% model probability, +50.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

AEK Athens FC 35%Draw 31%Levski Sofia 34%

35%31%34%

35%

AEK Athens FC Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

+50.3%

Best value: Levski Sofia or Draw

📈 Recent form

AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Iraklis 1908. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Samsunspor.

WAEK Athens FC 4-0 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
DLevski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League
DAEK Athens FC 2-2 OFISuper Cup
WAEK Athens FC 3-0 St. TruidenFriendlies Clubs
LAEK Athens FC 1-2 SamsunsporFriendlies Clubs

Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 0. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Spartak Varna.

WLevski Sofia 6-0 Spartak VarnaFirst League
DLevski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League
WKairat Almaty 0-1 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League
WLevski Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
WLevski Sofia 1-0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Champions League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices AEK Athens FC at 35% to win and Levski Sofia at 34%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Levski Sofia Win	34%	@ 6.40	+117.9%
Draw	31%	@ 3.85	+18.3%
AEK Athens FC Win	35%	@ 1.53	-46.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Levski Sofia or Draw at 2.40 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Levski Sofia or Draw	63%	@ 2.40	+50.3%
AEK Athens FC or Draw	64%	@ 1.11	-29.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	74%	@ 1.35	-0.3%
Over 3.5	27%	@ 3.65	-1.3%
Over 2.5	49%	@ 2.00	-2.2%
Under 3.5	73%	@ 1.28	-6.6%
Under 2.5	51%	@ 1.77	-9.6%
Under 1.5	26%	@ 3.10	-18.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	53%	@ 2.05	+9.6%
BTTS No	47%	@ 1.67	-22.3%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, with 74% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Levski Sofia or Draw at 2.40 (+50.3% value).

Who is the favourite for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia?

Our model makes an AEK Athens FC win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.4 scoreline for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia.

What is the predicted score for AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for AEK Athens FC and 1.36 for Levski Sofia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do AEK Athens FC and Levski Sofia play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 26 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.