Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
Tue 25 Aug3-0Finished

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 25 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Result: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 NEC Nijmegen

Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen finished 3-0. Bodo/Glimt won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, NEC Nijmegen Asian Handicap with a +2 start at 1.38, did not land.

Bodo/Glimt face NEC Nijmegen in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 25 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 2.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
NEC Nijmegen Asian Handicap +2.0 @ 1.38
76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.51 – 1.19 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.5% 2.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.2% 7.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 7.8% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7%
3 6.5% 7.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
4 4.1% 4.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Projected score: 2-1
Bodo/Glimt winDrawNEC Nijmegen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is NEC Nijmegen Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.38, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

Bodo/Glimt 56%Draw 27%NEC Nijmegen 17%
56%27%17%
56%
Bodo/Glimt Win
71%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Bodo/Glimt and NEC Nijmegen. Wins shown from Bodo/Glimt’s perspective: Bodo/Glimt 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-25 Bodo/Glimt 3 – 0 NEC Nijmegen W
2026-08-19 NEC Nijmegen 1 – 3 Bodo/Glimt W

📈 Recent form

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Brann.

  • LBrann 2-1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • LBayern Munich 5-0 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
  • WFredrikstad 1-2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • WBodo/Glimt 4-2 RosenborgEliteserien
  • WBodo/Glimt 3-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Champions League
NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at PEC Zwolle. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Juventus.

  • DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
  • LJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
  • LCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
  • LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 FeyenoordEredivisie
  • WPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bodo/Glimt
  • H. EvjenKnee Injury
  • A. MikkelsenGroin Injury
  • I. SjongInjury
  • O. BlombergInjury
  • M. Bro HansenInjury
  • J. GundersenInjury
  • M. RiisnaesInjury
NEC Nijmegen
  • A. KaplanKnee Injury
  • E. MorNot in squad
  • S. OuaissaMuscle Injury
  • P. SandlerInjury
  • P. SchuursKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bodo/Glimt at 56% to win and NEC Nijmegen at 17%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Bodo/Glimt Win 56% 63% @ 1.48
Draw 27% 19% @ 4.90
NEC Nijmegen Win 17% 18% @ 5.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bodo/Glimt or Draw at 1.15 (81% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Bodo/Glimt or Draw 81% 82% @ 1.15
NEC Nijmegen or Draw 42% 37% @ 2.55

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 88% 87% @ 1.06
Over 2.5 71% 70% @ 1.30
Over 3.5 51% 50% @ 1.88
Under 3.5 49% 50% @ 1.86
Under 2.5 29% 30% @ 3.10
Under 1.5 12% 13% @ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 64% 65% @ 1.43
BTTS No 36% 35% @ 2.60

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Bodo/Glimt or NEC Nijmegen is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Bodo/Glimt +0.75 84% 85% 1.12
Bodo/Glimt +0.5 81% 81% 1.17
NEC Nijmegen +2 76% 69% @ 1.38
Bodo/Glimt +0.25 75% 79% 1.19
NEC Nijmegen +1.75 71% 62% @ 1.54
Bodo/Glimt 0 69% 77% 1.23
NEC Nijmegen +1.5 67% 56% @ 1.67
Bodo/Glimt -0.25 64% 70% 1.34
NEC Nijmegen +1.25 61% 51% @ 1.86
Bodo/Glimt -0.5 58% 64% 1.47
NEC Nijmegen +1 54% 45% @ 2.11
Bodo/Glimt -0.75 52% 60% 1.58
NEC Nijmegen +0.75 48% 40% @ 2.40
Bodo/Glimt -1 46% 55% 1.71
NEC Nijmegen +0.5 42% 36% @ 2.60
Bodo/Glimt -1.25 39% 49% 1.97
NEC Nijmegen +0.25 36% 30% @ 3.21
Bodo/Glimt -1.5 33% 44% 2.14
NEC Nijmegen 0 31% 23% @ 4.17
Bodo/Glimt -1.75 29% 38% 2.47
NEC Nijmegen -0.25 25% 21% @ 4.50
Bodo/Glimt -2 24% 31% 3.01
NEC Nijmegen -0.5 19% 19% 5.00
NEC Nijmegen -0.75 16% 15% @ 6.40

📈 How the market moved

13%40%67%08/2208/2308/2408/25

Bodo/Glimt 63%Draw 19%NEC Nijmegen 17%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our model's main pick is NEC Nijmegen Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.38, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our model makes a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 2.5-1.2 scoreline for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen.

What is the predicted score for Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.51 for Bodo/Glimt and 1.19 for NEC Nijmegen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bodo/Glimt and NEC Nijmegen play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 25 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.