Nancy

Fri 28 Aug2-0Finished

Dunkerque

⚽ Ligue 2

Nancy vs Dunkerque Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nancy vs Dunkerque in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Nancy 2-0 Dunkerque

Nancy vs Dunkerque finished 2-0. Nancy won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Dunkerque Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at 1.39, did not land.

Nancy face Dunkerque in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Nancy won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Dunkerque win the most likely result at 59%, projecting a 1.8-3.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nancy vs Dunkerque with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Dunkerque Asian Handicap +0.75 @ 1.39

83%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.84 – 2.97 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	0.8%	2.4%	3.6%	3.6%	2.6%
1	1.5%	4.5%	6.6%	6.5%	4.9%
2	1.4%	4.1%	6.1%	6.0%	4.5%
3	0.8%	2.5%	3.7%	3.7%	2.7%
4	0.4%	1.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.3%

Projected score: 1-2

Nancy winDrawDunkerque win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Nancy vs Dunkerque comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Dunkerque Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.39, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Dunkerque win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 59%. Goals lean over 2.5 (86%), both teams to score points yes (79%).

📊 Key numbers

Nancy 23%Draw 18%Dunkerque 59%

23%18%59%

59%

Dunkerque Win

86%

Over 2.5 goals

79%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Nancy and Dunkerque. Wins shown from Nancy’s perspective: Nancy 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-28	Nancy	2 – 0	Dunkerque	W
2026-05-09	Nancy	3 – 2	Dunkerque	W

📈 Recent form

Nancy

Nancy come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Dunkerque. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Reims.

WRodez 3-4 NancyLigue 2
LNancy 1-2 ReimsLigue 2
LNantes 1-0 NancyLigue 2
WNancy 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
WPAU 0-1 NancyLigue 2

Dunkerque

Dunkerque come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Saint Etienne. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at PAU.

LPAU 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
WDunkerque 2-1 Saint EtienneLigue 2
DDunkerque 1-1 Clermont FootLigue 2
LNancy 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
LDunkerque 0-1 MontpellierLigue 2

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Nancy at 23% to win and Dunkerque at 59%, with the draw at 18%. Our model makes a Dunkerque win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dunkerque Win	59%	36%	@ 2.60
Nancy Win	23%	36%	@ 2.60
Draw	18%	28%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dunkerque or Draw at 1.43 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dunkerque or Draw	80%	64%	@ 1.43
Nancy or Draw	44%	64%	@ 1.42

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-3.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 86% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	95%	73%	@ 1.26
Over 2.5	86%	49%	@ 1.87
Over 3.5	71%	29%	@ 3.15
Under 3.5	29%	71%	@ 1.30
Under 2.5	14%	51%	@ 1.80
Under 1.5	5%	27%	@ 3.35

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 79%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	79%	55%	@ 1.65
BTTS No	21%	45%	@ 2.02

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nancy or Dunkerque is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dunkerque +1.75	94%	85%	@ 1.12
Dunkerque +1.5	93%	80%	@ 1.18
Dunkerque +1.25	90%	79%	@ 1.20
Dunkerque +1	86%	76%	@ 1.25
Dunkerque +0.75	83%	68%	@ 1.39
Dunkerque +0.5	80%	62%	@ 1.52
Dunkerque +0.25	74%	55%	@ 1.72
Nancy +1.75	72%	86%	1.10
Dunkerque 0	68%	47%	@ 2.01
Nancy +1.5	68%	83%	1.15
Dunkerque -0.25	62%	40%	@ 2.40
Nancy +1.25	62%	81%	1.17
Dunkerque -0.5	56%	35%	@ 2.66
Nancy +1	56%	–	1.19
Dunkerque -0.75	50%	28%	@ 3.40
Nancy +0.75	50%	72%	1.32
Nancy +0.5	44%	65%	1.45
Dunkerque -1.25	38%	19%	@ 5.00
Nancy +0.25	38%	60%	1.58
Dunkerque -1.5	32%	17%	@ 5.50
Nancy 0	32%	53%	1.80
Dunkerque -1.75	28%	14%	@ 7.00
Nancy -0.25	26%	45%	2.12
Nancy -0.5	20%	38%	2.45
Nancy -0.75	17%	32%	3.00
Nancy -1	14%	24%	3.98
Nancy -1.25	10%	21%	4.40
Nancy -1.5	7%	20%	4.80
Nancy -1.75	6%	15%	6.40

📈 How the market moved

Nancy 37%Draw 28%Dunkerque 35%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nancy vs Dunkerque?

Our model's main pick is Dunkerque Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.39, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Nancy vs Dunkerque?

Our model makes a Dunkerque win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 1.8-3.0 scoreline for Nancy vs Dunkerque.

What is the predicted score for Nancy vs Dunkerque?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.84 for Nancy and 2.97 for Dunkerque. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Nancy and Dunkerque play?

Kick-off is Friday 28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.