Rodez

Fri 28 Aug2-2Finished

PAU

⚽ Ligue 2

Rodez vs PAU Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rodez vs PAU in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Rodez 2-2 PAU

Rodez vs PAU finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Rodez Asian Handicap to win by 0+ goals at 1.45, was a half-loss.

Rodez face PAU in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rodez win the most likely result at 82%, projecting a 3.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rodez vs PAU with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Rodez Asian Handicap -0.25 @ 1.45

83%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 3.38 – 1.01 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.2%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
1	4.2%	4.2%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
2	7.1%	7.2%	3.6%	1.2%	0.3%
3	8.0%	8.1%	4.1%	1.4%	0.3%
4	6.7%	6.8%	3.4%	1.2%	0.3%

Projected score: 3-1

Rodez winDrawPAU win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rodez vs PAU comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Rodez Asian Handicap to win by 0+ goals at odds 1.45, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rodez win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 82%. Goals lean over 2.5 (81%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Rodez 82%Draw 12%PAU 7%

82%12%

82%

Rodez Win

81%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Rodez

Rodez come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Nantes. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to Nancy.

LRodez 3-4 NancyLigue 2
LRodez 0-1 GrenobleLigue 2
LMetz 4-1 RodezLigue 2
DRodez 2-2 PAULigue 2
WNantes 2-5 RodezLigue 2

PAU

PAU come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Dunkerque. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Montpellier.

WPAU 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
LMontpellier 1-0 PAULigue 2
DPAU 1-1 SochauxLigue 2
DRodez 2-2 PAULigue 2
LPAU 0-1 NancyLigue 2

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rodez at 82% to win and PAU at 7%, with the draw at 12%. Our model makes a Rodez win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rodez Win	82%	58%	@ 1.62
Draw	12%	23%	@ 4.10
PAU Win	7%	19%	@ 4.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rodez or Draw at 1.14 (93% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rodez or Draw	93%	81%	@ 1.14
PAU or Draw	20%	42%	@ 2.14

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 81% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	93%	78%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	81%	58%	@ 1.58
Over 3.5	64%	37%	@ 2.48
Under 3.5	36%	63%	@ 1.45
Under 2.5	19%	42%	@ 2.17
Under 1.5	7%	22%	@ 4.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	56%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	39%	44%	@ 2.08

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Rodez or PAU is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Rodez +0.75	94%	84%	@ 1.13
Rodez +0.5	93%	–	@ 1.22
Rodez +0.25	90%	75%	@ 1.22
Rodez 0	87%	73%	@ 1.27
Rodez -0.25	83%	63%	@ 1.45
Rodez -0.5	80%	56%	@ 1.66
Rodez -0.75	75%	51%	@ 1.84
Rodez -1	70%	44%	@ 2.10
Rodez -1.25	65%	39%	@ 2.33
PAU +2	52%	–	1.18
PAU +1.75	46%	–	1.30
PAU +1.5	40%	–	1.43
PAU +1.25	35%	61%	1.51
PAU +1	30%	56%	1.67
PAU +0.75	25%	49%	1.92
PAU +0.5	20%	44%	2.11
PAU +0.25	17%	37%	2.50
PAU 0	13%	27%	3.35
PAU -0.25	10%	25%	3.73
PAU -0.75	6%	16%	5.90

📈 How the market moved

Rodez 55%Draw 24%PAU 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rodez vs PAU?

Our model's main pick is Rodez Asian Handicap to win by 0+ goals at odds 1.45, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for Rodez vs PAU?

Our model makes a Rodez win the most likely result at 82%. It projects an expected 3.4-1.0 scoreline for Rodez vs PAU.

What is the predicted score for Rodez vs PAU?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.38 for Rodez and 1.01 for PAU. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rodez and PAU play?

Kick-off is Friday 28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.