Sat 29 Aug3-1Finished

⚽ Championship

Middlesbrough vs West Brom Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Middlesbrough vs West Brom in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Middlesbrough 3-1 West Brom

Middlesbrough vs West Brom finished 3-1. Middlesbrough won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Middlesbrough face West Brom in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Middlesbrough have 1 win from their last 5, while West Brom have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Middlesbrough won 4, West Brom won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Middlesbrough vs West Brom with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.15 – 1.19 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	11.5%	6.8%	2.7%	0.8%
1	11.1%	13.2%	7.8%	3.1%	0.9%
2	6.4%	7.6%	4.5%	1.8%	0.5%
3	2.4%	2.9%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Middlesbrough winDrawWest Brom win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Middlesbrough vs West Brom comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Middlesbrough win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Middlesbrough 36%Draw 29%West Brom 35%

36%29%35%

36%

Middlesbrough Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Middlesbrough and West Brom. Wins shown from Middlesbrough’s perspective: Middlesbrough 4 · West Brom 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	Middlesbrough	3 – 1	West Brom	W
2025-01-21	Middlesbrough	2 – 0	West Brom	W
2024-10-01	West Brom	0 – 1	Middlesbrough	W
2023-12-23	Middlesbrough	1 – 0	West Brom	W
2023-08-26	West Brom	4 – 2	Middlesbrough	L

📈 Recent form

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at home to Norwich. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Crystal Palace.

DBirmingham 2-2 MiddlesbroughChampionship
DMiddlesbrough 2-2 MillwallChampionship
WMiddlesbrough 4-3 NorwichChampionship
LCrystal Palace 3-0 MiddlesbroughLeague Cup
WQPR 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship

West Brom

West Brom come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Derby. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Wolves.

LWolves 1-0 West BromChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
WDerby 0-1 West BromChampionship
WWest Brom 1-0 WatfordChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Middlesbrough

A. BanguraCoach's decision

West Brom

M. JohnstonBroken Leg

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Middlesbrough at 36% to win and West Brom at 35%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Middlesbrough Win	36%	54%	@ 1.73
West Brom Win	35%	21%	@ 4.40
Draw	29%	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Middlesbrough or Draw at 1.20 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Middlesbrough or Draw	63%	79%	@ 1.20
West Brom or Draw	63%	46%	@ 2.06

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	79%	70%	@ 1.33
Over 1.5	68%	75%	@ 1.24
Under 2.5	58%	48%	@ 1.95
Over 2.5	42%	52%	@ 1.80
Under 1.5	32%	25%	@ 3.70
Over 3.5	21%	30%	@ 3.05

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	47%	@ 1.96
BTTS Yes	48%	53%	@ 1.76

📈 How the market moved

Middlesbrough 54%Draw 25%West Brom 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs West Brom?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough vs West Brom?

Our model makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline for Middlesbrough vs West Brom.

What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs West Brom?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Middlesbrough and 1.19 for West Brom. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Middlesbrough and West Brom play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.