Sat 29 Aug0-2Finished

⚽ Premier League

Tottenham vs Newcastle Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Tottenham vs Newcastle in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Tottenham 0-2 Newcastle

Tottenham vs Newcastle finished 0-2. Newcastle won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Tottenham face Newcastle in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Tottenham have 2 wins from their last 5, while Newcastle have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Newcastle won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Newcastle win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.6-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Tottenham vs Newcastle with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Newcastle or Draw @ 1.62

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.58 – 1.69 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.8%	6.4%	5.4%	3.1%	1.3%
1	6.0%	10.1%	8.6%	4.8%	2.0%
2	4.7%	8.0%	6.8%	3.8%	1.6%
3	2.5%	4.2%	3.6%	2.0%	0.8%
4	1.0%	1.7%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Tottenham winDrawNewcastle win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Tottenham vs Newcastle comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Newcastle or Draw at odds 1.62, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Newcastle win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

Tottenham 31%Draw 29%Newcastle 40%

31%29%40%

40%

Newcastle Win

63%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Tottenham and Newcastle. Wins shown from Tottenham’s perspective: 1 drawn · Newcastle 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	Tottenham	0 – 2	Newcastle	L
2026-02-10	Tottenham	1 – 2	Newcastle	L
2025-12-02	Newcastle	2 – 2	Tottenham	D
2025-01-04	Tottenham	1 – 2	Newcastle	L
2024-09-01	Newcastle	2 – 1	Tottenham	L

📈 Recent form

Tottenham

Tottenham come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Aston Villa.

LTottenham 2-3 Aston VillaPremier League
LLiverpool 3-1 TottenhamLeague Cup
DTottenham 0-0 EvertonPremier League
DNottingham Forest 0-0 TottenhamPremier League
LTottenham 0-2 NewcastlePremier League

Newcastle

Newcastle come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Tottenham. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Leeds.

WNewcastle 2-1 Hull CityPremier League
LLeeds 4-1 NewcastlePremier League
WMillwall 0-1 NewcastleLeague Cup
DNewcastle 2-2 BournemouthPremier League
WTottenham 0-2 NewcastlePremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Tottenham

D. KulusevskiKnee Injury
J. MaddisonKnock
W. OdobertKnee Injury
P. M. SarrMuscle Injury
X. SimonsKnee Injury

Newcastle

D. BurnAnkle Injury
JoelintonThigh Injury
V. LivramentoHamstring Injury
W. OsulaInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Tottenham at 31% to win and Newcastle at 40%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Newcastle win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Newcastle Win	40%	32%	@ 2.95
Tottenham Win	31%	42%	@ 2.28
Draw	29%	26%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Newcastle or Draw at 1.62 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Newcastle or Draw	68%	58%	@ 1.62
Tottenham or Draw	58%	68%	@ 1.40

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	79%	@ 1.19
Over 2.5	63%	58%	@ 1.63
Under 3.5	59%	63%	@ 1.50
Over 3.5	41%	37%	@ 2.55
Under 2.5	37%	42%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	16%	21%	@ 4.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	61%	@ 1.52
BTTS No	35%	39%	@ 2.40

📈 How the market moved

Tottenham 42%Draw 26%Newcastle 32%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tottenham vs Newcastle?

Our model's main pick is Newcastle or Draw at odds 1.62, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.

Who is the favourite for Tottenham vs Newcastle?

Our model makes a Newcastle win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.7 scoreline for Tottenham vs Newcastle.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Newcastle?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Tottenham and 1.69 for Newcastle. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Tottenham and Newcastle play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.