1. FC NürnbergvsArminia Bielefeld

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

1. FC Nürnberg face Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: 1. FC Nürnberg have 3 wins from their last 5, while Arminia Bielefeld have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely result at 68%, projecting a 2.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.68
75%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.66 – 1.25 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.3% 6.7% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
2 7.1% 8.9% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7%
3 6.3% 7.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
4 4.2% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Projected score: 2-1
1. FC Nürnberg winDrawArminia Bielefeld win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.68, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 68%. Goals lean over 2.5 (75%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a 1. FC Nürnberg win at odds 2.29 (+56.0% model value).

Best value
1. FC Nürnberg Win at odds 2.29, 68% model probability, +56.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

1. FC Nürnberg 68%Draw 16%Arminia Bielefeld 16%
68%16%16%
68%
1. FC Nürnberg Win
75%
Over 2.5 goals
+56.0%
Best value: 1. FC Nürnberg Win

📈 Recent form

1. FC Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Dynamo Dresden. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • DFC Viktoria Köln 1-1 1. FC NürnbergDFB Pokal
  • WSpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-4 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
  • W1. FC Nürnberg 3-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
  • W1. FC Nürnberg 2-1 OviedoFriendlies Clubs
  • DPalermo 2-2 1. FC NürnbergFriendlies Clubs
Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Bologna. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Karlsruher SC.

  • DSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-2 Arminia BielefeldDFB Pokal
  • WArminia Bielefeld 3-0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
  • LKarlsruher SC 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
  • DArminia Bielefeld 1-1 MSV DuisburgFriendlies Clubs
  • WBologna 0-4 Arminia BielefeldFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices 1. FC Nürnberg at 68% to win and Arminia Bielefeld at 16%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Odds Value
1. FC Nürnberg Win 68% @ 2.29 +56.0%
Draw 16% @ 3.77 -38.2%
Arminia Bielefeld Win 16% @ 2.89 -55.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 75% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Over 3.5 55% @ 2.71 +48.6%
Over 2.5 75% @ 1.68 +25.7%
Over 1.5 90% @ 1.21 +9.0%
Under 3.5 45% @ 1.47 -33.6%
Under 2.5 25% @ 2.21 -44.3%
Under 1.5 10% @ 4.43 -56.2%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.68, with 75% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a 1. FC Nürnberg win at 2.29 (+56.0% value).

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Our model makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely result at 68%. It projects an expected 2.7-1.2 scoreline for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld.

What is the predicted score for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.66 for 1. FC Nürnberg and 1.25 for Arminia Bielefeld. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do 1. FC Nürnberg and Arminia Bielefeld play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.