⚽ Segunda División

Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División. Kick-off Friday 28 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Tenerife face Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División, kicking off Friday 28 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.40

83%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.77 – 1.42 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.1%	5.8%	4.2%	2.0%	0.7%
1	7.3%	10.3%	7.3%	3.5%	1.2%
2	6.4%	9.2%	6.5%	3.1%	1.1%
3	3.8%	5.4%	3.8%	1.8%	0.6%
4	1.7%	2.4%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Tenerife winDrawSporting Gijon win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, the selection our model is most confident in at 83%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

62%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Tenerife

Tenerife come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Marino. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Getafe.

WTenerife 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
WEibar 1-3 TenerifeSegunda División
WTenerife 3-2 TamaraceiteFriendlies Clubs
WMarino 0-6 TenerifeFriendlies Clubs
LTenerife 1-2 GetafeFriendlies Clubs

Sporting Gijon

Sporting Gijon come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Burgos. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at home to Valladolid.

WSporting Gijon 1-0 BurgosSegunda División
DSporting Gijon 0-0 SabadellSegunda División
LSporting Gijon 2-4 ValladolidFriendlies Clubs
LRacing Santander 4-1 Sporting GijonFriendlies Clubs
LGimnástica Torrelavega 5-0 Sporting GijonFriendlies Clubs

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Tenerife or Draw at 1.30 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Tenerife or Draw	70%	@ 1.30	n/a
Sporting Gijon or Draw	56%	@ 1.65	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	83%	@ 1.40	n/a
Under 1.5	17%	@ 2.88	n/a
Over 2.5	62%	@ 2.20	n/a
Under 2.5	38%	@ 1.65	n/a
Over 3.5	40%	@ 4.20	n/a
Under 3.5	60%	@ 1.22	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	63%	@ 1.85	n/a
BTTS No	37%	@ 1.83	n/a

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with 83% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.77 for Tenerife and 1.42 for Sporting Gijon. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Tenerife and Sporting Gijon play?

Kick-off is Friday 28 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.