Leganes

Sat 29 Aug1-0Finished

Eldense

⚽ Segunda División

Leganes vs Eldense Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Leganes vs Eldense in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Leganes 1-0 Eldense

Leganes vs Eldense finished 1-0. Leganes won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Leganes face Eldense in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Leganes vs Eldense with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.25

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.07 – 1.30 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	12.2%	7.9%	3.4%	1.1%
1	10.0%	13.0%	8.5%	3.7%	1.2%
2	5.4%	7.0%	4.5%	2.0%	0.6%
3	1.9%	2.5%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Leganes winDrawEldense win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Leganes vs Eldense comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (52%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

58%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Leganes

Leganes come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Granada CF. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Tenerife.

WLeganes 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
LTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División
DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
WLeganes 1-0 EldenseSegunda División
WOviedo 0-1 LeganesSegunda División

Eldense

Eldense come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Sporting Gijon. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Eibar.

LEldense 1-2 EibarSegunda División
WSporting Gijon 0-1 EldenseSegunda División
DEldense 0-0 MallorcaSegunda División
LLeganes 1-0 EldenseSegunda División
DEldense 2-2 CadizSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Eldense or Draw at 1.73 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Eldense or Draw	69%	53%	@ 1.73
Leganes or Draw	57%	75%	@ 1.21

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	73%	@ 1.25
Over 1.5	68%	69%	@ 1.32
Under 2.5	58%	54%	@ 1.68
Over 2.5	42%	46%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	32%	31%	@ 3.00
Over 3.5	22%	27%	@ 3.45

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS Yes	48%	50%	@ 1.81

📈 How the market moved

Leganes 49%Draw 27%Eldense 24%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leganes vs Eldense?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Eldense?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.07 for Leganes and 1.30 for Eldense. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Leganes and Eldense play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.