GuingampGuingamp
Sat 29 Aug3-3Finished
NantesNantes

⚽ Ligue 2

Guingamp vs Nantes Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Guingamp vs Nantes in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Result: Guingamp 3-3 Nantes

Guingamp vs Nantes finished 3-3. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Guingamp face Nantes in the Ligue 2, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Guingamp have 1 win from their last 5, while Nantes have no wins from their last 3. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Guingamp vs Nantes with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.32
91%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.88 – 0.78 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 19.0% 14.8% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3%
1 16.7% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3%
2 7.4% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Projected score: 0-0
Guingamp winDrawNantes win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Guingamp vs Nantes comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 91% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (77%), both teams to score points no (68%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

77%
Under 2.5 goals
68%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Guingamp

Guingamp come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Annecy. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to RED Star FC 93.

  • LGuingamp 1-3 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
  • WGuingamp 2-1 AnnecyLigue 2
  • DReims 2-2 GuingampLigue 2
  • DGuingamp 3-3 NantesLigue 2
  • LSochaux 1-0 GuingampLigue 2
Nantes

Nantes come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Boulogne. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Sochaux.

  • WBoulogne 1-2 NantesLigue 2
  • LSochaux 1-0 NantesLigue 2
  • WNantes 1-0 NancyLigue 2
  • DGuingamp 3-3 NantesLigue 2
  • LNantes 2-5 RodezLigue 2

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Guingamp or Draw at 1.50 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Guingamp or Draw 66% 60% @ 1.50
Nantes or Draw 60% 67% @ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 77% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 91% 70% @ 1.32
Under 2.5 77% 49% @ 1.89
Under 1.5 51% 25% @ 3.70
Over 1.5 49% 75% @ 1.22
Over 2.5 23% 51% @ 1.78
Over 3.5 9% 30% @ 3.05

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 68%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 68% 43% @ 2.12
BTTS Yes 32% 57% @ 1.60

📈 How the market moved

24%35%46%08/2508/2608/2708/2808/29

Guingamp 32%Draw 28%Nantes 40%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guingamp vs Nantes?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 91% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

What is the predicted score for Guingamp vs Nantes?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-0, based on expected goals of 0.88 for Guingamp and 0.78 for Nantes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Guingamp and Nantes play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.