1. FC Magdeburg

Sun 30 Aug2-0Finished

Holstein Kiel

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: 1. FC Magdeburg 2-0 Holstein Kiel

1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel finished 2-0. 1. FC Magdeburg won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

1. FC Magdeburg face Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: 1. FC Magdeburg have 3 wins from their last 5, while Holstein Kiel have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Holstein Kiel win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.5-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Holstein Kiel or Draw @ 1.65

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.53 – 1.94 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	6.0%	5.9%	3.8%	1.8%
1	4.8%	9.2%	9.0%	5.8%	2.8%
2	3.6%	7.1%	6.9%	4.4%	2.1%
3	1.9%	3.6%	3.5%	2.3%	1.1%
4	0.7%	1.4%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

1. FC Magdeburg winDrawHolstein Kiel win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Holstein Kiel or Draw at odds 1.65, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Holstein Kiel win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

1. FC Magdeburg 31%Draw 21%Holstein Kiel 48%

31%21%48%

48%

Holstein Kiel Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between 1. FC Magdeburg and Holstein Kiel. Wins shown from 1. FC Magdeburg’s perspective: 1. FC Magdeburg 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	1. FC Magdeburg	2 – 0	Holstein Kiel	W
2026-05-09	Holstein Kiel	1 – 3	1. FC Magdeburg	W

📈 Recent form

1. FC Magdeburg

1. FC Magdeburg come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Bahlinger SC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Hertha BSC.

DSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
W1. FC Magdeburg 3-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
LHertha BSC 2-1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
W1. FC Magdeburg 2-0 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
WBahlinger SC 0-4 1. FC MagdeburgDFB Pokal

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at TSV 1860 München. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at 1. FC Heidenheim.

DHolstein Kiel 1-1 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
L1. FC Heidenheim 1-0 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
DHolstein Kiel 2-2 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
L1. FC Magdeburg 2-0 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
WTSV 1860 München 0-2 Holstein KielDFB Pokal

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices 1. FC Magdeburg at 31% to win and Holstein Kiel at 48%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Holstein Kiel win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Holstein Kiel Win	48%	30%	@ 3.10
1. FC Magdeburg Win	31%	45%	@ 2.10
Draw	21%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Holstein Kiel or Draw at 1.65 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Holstein Kiel or Draw	71%	55%	@ 1.65
1. FC Magdeburg or Draw	54%	70%	@ 1.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	80%	@ 1.15
Over 2.5	67%	61%	@ 1.50
Under 3.5	54%	59%	@ 1.54
Over 3.5	46%	41%	@ 2.25
Under 2.5	33%	39%	@ 2.33
Under 1.5	14%	20%	@ 4.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	63%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	34%	37%	@ 2.45

📈 How the market moved

1. FC Magdeburg 44%Draw 25%Holstein Kiel 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?

Our model's main pick is Holstein Kiel or Draw at odds 1.65, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 55%.

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?

Our model makes a Holstein Kiel win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.9 scoreline for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel.

What is the predicted score for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.53 for 1. FC Magdeburg and 1.94 for Holstein Kiel. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do 1. FC Magdeburg and Holstein Kiel play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.