⚽ Premier League

Sunderland vs Fulham Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sunderland vs Fulham in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Sunderland face Fulham in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Sunderland have 2 wins from their last 5, while Fulham have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Fulham won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sunderland win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sunderland vs Fulham with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

77%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.33 – 1.13 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	9.7%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
1	11.4%	12.8%	7.3%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.6%	8.5%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%
3	3.3%	3.8%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Sunderland winDrawFulham win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sunderland vs Fulham is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Sunderland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.30, 77% model probability, -0.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Sunderland 38%Draw 34%Fulham 28%

38%34%28%

38%

Sunderland Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

-0.4%

Best value: Under 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Sunderland and Fulham. Wins shown from Sunderland’s perspective: Fulham 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-22	Sunderland	1 – 3	Fulham	L
2025-11-22	Fulham	1 – 0	Sunderland	L

📈 Recent form

Sunderland

Sunderland come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Lens. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Ipswich.

LIpswich 2-1 SunderlandPremier League
WSunderland 2-1 RennesFriendlies Clubs
WLens 0-2 SunderlandFriendlies Clubs
WWrexham 0-1 SunderlandPremier League – Summe
LSunderland 0-1 LeedsPremier League – Summe

Fulham

Fulham come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to VfB Stuttgart. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Chelsea.

LFulham 2-3 ChelseaPremier League
WFulham 1-0 VfB StuttgartFriendlies Clubs
DMalaga 2-2 FulhamFriendlies Clubs
LFulham 1-2 Crystal PalaceFriendlies Clubs
WFarense 1-2 FulhamFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sunderland at 38% to win and Fulham at 28%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a Sunderland win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	34%	@ 3.28	+11.6%
Sunderland Win	38%	@ 2.63	-1.1%
Fulham Win	28%	@ 2.87	-18.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	77%	@ 1.30	-0.4%
Under 2.5	55%	@ 1.78	-1.4%
Under 1.5	30%	@ 3.31	-2.2%
Over 1.5	70%	@ 1.35	-4.9%
Over 2.5	45%	@ 2.13	-5.0%
Over 3.5	23%	@ 3.36	-21.4%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sunderland vs Fulham?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 77% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Fulham?

Our model makes a Sunderland win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline for Sunderland vs Fulham.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Fulham?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.33 for Sunderland and 1.13 for Fulham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sunderland and Fulham play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.