⚽ Super League

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun in the Super League. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC ST. Gallen face FC Thun in the Super League, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: FC ST. Gallen have 3 wins from their last 5, while FC Thun have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC ST. Gallen win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 2.0-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.30

65%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.03 – 1.31 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	4.6%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%
1	7.2%	9.4%	6.2%	2.7%	0.9%
2	7.3%	9.6%	6.3%	2.7%	0.9%
3	4.9%	6.5%	4.2%	1.9%	0.6%
4	2.5%	3.3%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

FC ST. Gallen winDrawFC Thun win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 65%. On the match result, the model rates a FC ST. Gallen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (63%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 3.5 goals at odds 2.00 (+14.3% model value).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 2.00, 57% model probability, +14.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

FC ST. Gallen 54%Draw 21%FC Thun 25%

54%21%25%

54%

FC ST. Gallen Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

+14.3%

Best value: Under 3.5

📈 Recent form

FC ST. Gallen

FC ST. Gallen come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Sheriff Tiraspol. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at FC Nordsjaelland.

LFC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC ST. GallenUEFA Europa Conference
WThalwil 0-3 FC ST. GallenSchweizer Cup
WFC ST. Gallen 5-1 Sheriff TiraspolUEFA Europa Conference
DFC ST. Gallen 2-2 FC LuzernSuper League
WSheriff Tiraspol 1-3 FC ST. GallenUEFA Europa Conference

FC Thun

FC Thun come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Saxon Sports. Their most recent defeat was 0-7 at Lech Poznan.

LLech Poznan 7-0 FC ThunUEFA Europa League
WSaxon Sports 0-6 FC ThunSchweizer Cup
LVikingur Reykjavik 3-2 FC ThunUEFA Europa League
LFC Basel 1893 4-2 FC ThunSuper League
WFC Thun 3-0 Vikingur ReykjavikUEFA Europa League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC ST. Gallen at 54% to win and FC Thun at 25%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a FC ST. Gallen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Thun Win	25%	@ 4.20	+6.3%
Draw	21%	@ 4.60	-4.6%
FC ST. Gallen Win	54%	@ 1.64	-11.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Thun or Draw at 2.20 (48% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Thun or Draw	48%	@ 2.20	+5.6%
FC ST. Gallen or Draw	76%	@ 1.22	-6.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	35%	@ 3.40	+19.5%
Under 1.5	15%	@ 7.50	+15.4%
Under 3.5	57%	@ 2.00	+14.3%
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.08	-8.6%
Over 2.5	65%	@ 1.30	-15.7%
Over 3.5	43%	@ 1.80	-22.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	37%	@ 2.88	+7.7%
BTTS Yes	63%	@ 1.35	-15.5%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 65% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 3.5 goals at 2.00 (+14.3% value).

Who is the favourite for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun?

Our model makes a FC ST. Gallen win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.3 scoreline for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun.

What is the predicted score for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.03 for FC ST. Gallen and 1.31 for FC Thun. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC ST. Gallen and FC Thun play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.