⚽ Segunda División

Cadiz vs Valladolid Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cadiz vs Valladolid in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Cadiz face Valladolid in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Cadiz have 1 win from their last 5, while Valladolid have 0 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Cadiz win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.1-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cadiz vs Valladolid with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 2.5 @ 1.65

64%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.14 – 0.98 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.0%	11.8%	5.8%	1.9%	0.5%
1	13.7%	13.4%	6.6%	2.1%	0.5%
2	7.8%	7.6%	3.7%	1.2%	0.3%
3	3.0%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.8%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Cadiz winDrawValladolid win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cadiz vs Valladolid is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.65, the selection our model is most confident in at 64%. On the match result, the model rates a Cadiz win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points no (59%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 1.83 (+8.4% model value).

Best value

BTTS No at odds 1.83, 59% model probability, +8.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Cadiz 40%Draw 29%Valladolid 31%

40%29%31%

40%

Cadiz Win

64%

Under 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS no

+8.4%

Best value: BTTS No

📈 Recent form

Cadiz

Cadiz come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at Barbate. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to AD Ceuta FC.

DEldense 2-2 CadizSegunda División
WCadiz 2-0 Granada CFFriendlies Clubs
LCadiz 1-3 AD Ceuta FCFriendlies Clubs
LCadiz 0-1 LeicesterFriendlies Clubs
WBarbate 0-7 CadizFriendlies Clubs

Valladolid

Valladolid come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Gimnástica Segoviana. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Eibar.

LEibar 1-0 ValladolidSegunda División
LMallorca 2-0 ValladolidSegunda División
WSporting Gijon 2-4 ValladolidFriendlies Clubs
WGimnástica Segoviana 0-3 ValladolidFriendlies Clubs
LGroningen 1-0 ValladolidFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cadiz at 40% to win and Valladolid at 31%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Cadiz win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Valladolid Win	31%	@ 3.35	+4.0%
Draw	29%	@ 3.10	-9.4%
Cadiz Win	40%	@ 2.22	-11.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Valladolid or Draw at 1.62 (59% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Valladolid or Draw	59%	@ 1.62	-4.7%
Cadiz or Draw	68%	@ 1.30	-12.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	64%	@ 1.65	+6.3%
Under 1.5	37%	@ 2.80	+4.9%
Under 3.5	84%	@ 1.22	+1.9%
Over 1.5	63%	@ 1.42	-11.2%
Over 2.5	36%	@ 2.20	-21.7%
Over 3.5	16%	@ 4.20	-30.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	59%	@ 1.83	+8.4%
BTTS Yes	41%	@ 1.85	-24.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cadiz vs Valladolid?

Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.65, with 64% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams not to score at 1.83 (+8.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Valladolid?

Our model makes a Cadiz win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.0 scoreline for Cadiz vs Valladolid.

What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs Valladolid?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.14 for Cadiz and 0.98 for Valladolid. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cadiz and Valladolid play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.