Cadiz

Sun 30 Aug1-1Finished

Valladolid

⚽ Segunda División

Cadiz vs Valladolid Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cadiz vs Valladolid in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Cadiz 1-1 Valladolid

Cadiz vs Valladolid finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Cadiz face Valladolid in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Cadiz have 1 win from their last 5, while Valladolid have no wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Valladolid won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Cadiz win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.1-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cadiz vs Valladolid with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Cadiz or Draw @ 1.34

69%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.09 – 0.88 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.9%	12.3%	5.4%	1.6%	0.3%
1	15.2%	13.4%	5.9%	1.7%	0.4%
2	8.3%	7.3%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%
3	3.0%	2.6%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.8%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Cadiz winDrawValladolid win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cadiz vs Valladolid comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Cadiz or Draw at odds 1.34, with a 69% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Cadiz win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points no (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Cadiz 41%Draw 30%Valladolid 29%

41%30%29%

41%

Cadiz Win

68%

Under 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Cadiz and Valladolid. Wins shown from Cadiz’s perspective: 1 drawn · Valladolid 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	Cadiz	1 – 1	Valladolid	D
2026-03-31	Valladolid	3 – 0	Cadiz	L

📈 Recent form

Cadiz

Cadiz come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Girona.

LCadiz 1-2 GironaSegunda División
LCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
LAlmeria 3-2 CadizSegunda División
DCadiz 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
DEldense 2-2 CadizSegunda División

Valladolid

Valladolid come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to FC Andorra. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Oviedo.

DAD Ceuta FC 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
LValladolid 0-3 OviedoSegunda División
WValladolid 1-0 FC AndorraSegunda División
DCadiz 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
LEibar 1-0 ValladolidSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cadiz at 41% to win and Valladolid at 29%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Cadiz win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Cadiz Win	41%	39%	@ 2.35
Draw	30%	30%	@ 3.05
Valladolid Win	29%	32%	@ 2.85

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cadiz or Draw at 1.34 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Cadiz or Draw	69%	68%	@ 1.34
Valladolid or Draw	57%	61%	@ 1.48

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	86%	77%	@ 1.19
Under 2.5	68%	58%	@ 1.57
Over 1.5	59%	66%	@ 1.38
Under 1.5	41%	34%	@ 2.70
Over 2.5	32%	42%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	14%	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	63%	52%	@ 1.75
BTTS Yes	37%	48%	@ 1.90

📈 How the market moved

Cadiz 38%Draw 31%Valladolid 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cadiz vs Valladolid?

Our model's main pick is Cadiz or Draw at odds 1.34, with a 69% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Valladolid?

Our model makes a Cadiz win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.1-0.9 scoreline for Cadiz vs Valladolid.

What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs Valladolid?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.09 for Cadiz and 0.88 for Valladolid. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cadiz and Valladolid play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.