Cremonese
Modena⚽ Serie B
Cremonese vs Modena Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cremonese vs Modena in the Serie B. Kick-off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
Result: Cremonese 0-3 Modena
Cremonese vs Modena finished 0-3. Modena won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Cremonese face Modena in the Serie B, kicking off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cremonese vs Modena with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 13.9% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Cremonese vs Modena comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Cremonese with a +0.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 73% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (54%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Cremonese come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Padova. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to Modena.
- DCremonese 0-0 Virtus EntellaSerie B
- DCesena 2-2 CremoneseSerie B
- WCremonese 3-1 PadovaSerie B
- WParma 0-2 CremoneseCoppa Italia
- LCremonese 0-3 ModenaSerie B
Modena come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Cremonese. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Avellino.
- WModena 2-1 EmpoliSerie B
- DSudtirol 1-1 ModenaSerie B
- LModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B
- WCremonese 0-3 ModenaSerie B
- WBenevento 1-2 ModenaSerie B
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cremonese or Draw at 1.17 (79% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese or Draw | 79% | 78% | @ 1.17 |
| Modena or Draw | 45% | 50% | @ 1.83 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 77% | 80% | @ 1.16 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 60% | @ 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 40% | @ 2.32 |
| Under 1.5 | 30% | 34% | @ 2.70 |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 20% | @ 4.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 54% | 56% | @ 1.64 |
| BTTS Yes | 46% | 44% | @ 2.05 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Cremonese or Modena is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0.75 | 82% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Cremonese +0.5 | 79% | – | 1.22 |
| Modena +2 | 78% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Modena +1.75 | 74% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Cremonese +0.25 | 73% | – | 1.26 |
| Modena +1.5 | 69% | 73% | 1.28 |
| Cremonese 0 | 67% | 71% | 1.35 |
| Modena +1.25 | 63% | 71% | 1.34 |
| Cremonese -0.25 | 61% | 59% | 1.62 |
| Modena +1 | 57% | 66% | 1.45 |
| Cremonese -0.5 | 55% | 51% | 1.84 |
| Modena +0.75 | 51% | 57% | 1.68 |
| Cremonese -0.75 | 49% | 43% | 2.21 |
| Modena +0.5 | 45% | 49% | 1.93 |
| Cremonese -1 | 43% | 34% | 2.78 |
| Modena +0.25 | 39% | 41% | 2.31 |
| Cremonese -1.25 | 37% | 29% | 3.27 |
| Modena 0 | 33% | 29% | 3.25 |
| Cremonese -1.5 | 31% | 27% | 3.53 |
| Cremonese -1.75 | 26% | 21% | 4.56 |
| Cremonese -2 | 22% | 14% | 6.80 |
| Modena -0.75 | 18% | 17% | 5.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cremonese vs Modena?
Our model's main pick is Cremonese with a +0.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 79%.
What is the predicted score for Cremonese vs Modena?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Cremonese and 0.85 for Modena. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Cremonese and Modena play?
Kick-off is Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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