GironavsLas Palmas

⚽ Segunda División

Girona vs Las Palmas Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Girona vs Las Palmas in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Girona face Las Palmas in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:30 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, Girona won 3, Las Palmas won 1. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Girona vs Las Palmas with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.33
82%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.89 – 1.27 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.2% 5.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
1 8.0% 10.2% 6.5% 2.7% 0.9%
2 7.6% 9.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8%
3 4.8% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
4 2.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Girona winDrawLas Palmas win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Girona vs Las Palmas is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 82%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

61%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Girona and Las Palmas. Wins shown from Girona’s perspective: Girona 3 · Las Palmas 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2025-02-03 Girona 2 – 1 Las Palmas W
2024-10-26 Las Palmas 1 – 0 Girona L
2024-04-27 Las Palmas 0 – 2 Girona W
2023-09-03 Girona 1 – 0 Las Palmas W

📈 Recent form

Girona

Girona come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Cordoba.

  • LCordoba 2-1 GironaSegunda División
  • DGirona 1-1 LeganesSegunda División
  • DGimnastic 1-1 GironaFriendlies Clubs
  • DGirona 2-2 SabadellFriendlies Clubs
  • LGirona 1-4 ArsenalFriendlies Clubs
Las Palmas

Las Palmas come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at AD Ceuta FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to NEOM.

  • WAD Ceuta FC 0-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
  • WLas Palmas 2-1 AlbaceteSegunda División
  • LLas Palmas 0-1 NEOMFriendlies Clubs
  • LLas Palmas 1-2 Al-Ittihad FCFriendlies Clubs
  • LOrlando Pirates 1-0 Las PalmasFriendlies Clubs

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Girona or Draw at 1.17 (76% model).

Selection Model % Odds Value
Girona or Draw 76% @ 1.17 n/a
Las Palmas or Draw 49% @ 2.10 n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Over 1.5 82% @ 1.33 n/a
Under 1.5 18% @ 3.30 n/a
Over 2.5 61% @ 1.95 n/a
Under 2.5 39% @ 1.83 n/a
Over 3.5 39% @ 3.40 n/a
Under 3.5 61% @ 1.30 n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection Model % Odds Value
BTTS Yes 61% @ 1.83 n/a
BTTS No 39% @ 1.83 n/a

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Girona vs Las Palmas?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with 82% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for Girona vs Las Palmas?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Girona and 1.27 for Las Palmas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Girona and Las Palmas play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.