Arezzo

Sun 30 Aug2-3Finished

Palermo

⚽ Serie B

Arezzo vs Palermo Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Arezzo vs Palermo in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Arezzo 2-3 Palermo

Arezzo vs Palermo finished 2-3. Palermo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Arezzo face Palermo in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Arezzo vs Palermo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Arezzo or Draw @ 1.65

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.66 – 0.67 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	6.5%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%
1	16.2%	10.8%	3.6%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.4%	9.0%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
3	7.4%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.1%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Arezzo winDrawPalermo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Arezzo vs Palermo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Arezzo or Draw at odds 1.65, with a 84% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points no (61%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

59%

Under 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Arezzo

Arezzo come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Empoli. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Sudtirol.

LArezzo 1-4 SudtirolSerie B
WEmpoli 0-1 ArezzoSerie B
LHellas Verona 5-0 ArezzoSerie B
LArezzo 2-3 PalermoSerie B
WAvellino 1-2 ArezzoSerie B

Palermo

Palermo come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Mantova. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WPalermo 2-1 PadovaSerie B
DAvellino 1-1 PalermoSerie B
WPalermo 3-1 SampdoriaSerie B
WPalermo 5-2 MantovaCoppa Italia
WArezzo 2-3 PalermoSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Arezzo or Draw at 1.65 (84% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Arezzo or Draw	84%	56%	@ 1.65
Palermo or Draw	37%	74%	@ 1.24

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	79%	78%	@ 1.18
Over 1.5	68%	67%	@ 1.38
Under 2.5	59%	59%	@ 1.56
Over 2.5	41%	41%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	32%	33%	@ 2.75
Over 3.5	21%	22%	@ 4.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	61%	52%	@ 1.76
BTTS Yes	39%	48%	@ 1.89

📈 How the market moved

Arezzo 25%Draw 30%Palermo 45%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arezzo vs Palermo?

Our model's main pick is Arezzo or Draw at odds 1.65, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 56%.

What is the predicted score for Arezzo vs Palermo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Arezzo and 0.67 for Palermo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Arezzo and Palermo play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.