Mallorca

Sun 30 Aug3-0Finished

AD Ceuta FC

⚽ Segunda División

Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Mallorca 3-0 AD Ceuta FC

Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC finished 3-0. Mallorca won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Mallorca face AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.38

62%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.85 – 1.28 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.4%	5.6%	3.6%	1.5%	0.5%
1	8.1%	10.4%	6.6%	2.8%	0.9%
2	7.5%	9.6%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%
3	4.6%	5.9%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%
4	2.1%	2.7%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Mallorca winDrawAD Ceuta FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 62% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

60%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Mallorca

Mallorca come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to AD Ceuta FC. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Granada CF.

WMallorca 2-0 SabadellSegunda División
DEldense 0-0 MallorcaSegunda División
WMallorca 3-0 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
LGranada CF 2-0 MallorcaSegunda División
WMallorca 2-0 ValladolidSegunda División

AD Ceuta FC

AD Ceuta FC come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Burgos.

DAD Ceuta FC 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
LBurgos 3-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
LMallorca 3-0 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
LAD Ceuta FC 0-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
LFC Andorra 5-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mallorca or Draw at 1.09 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Mallorca or Draw	75%	84%	@ 1.09
AD Ceuta FC or Draw	50%	37%	@ 2.48

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	76%	@ 1.21
Under 3.5	62%	67%	@ 1.38
Over 2.5	60%	54%	@ 1.68
Under 2.5	40%	46%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	38%	33%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	18%	24%	@ 3.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	49%	@ 1.84
BTTS No	39%	51%	@ 1.80

📈 How the market moved

Mallorca 66%Draw 21%AD Ceuta FC 13%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 62% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.85 for Mallorca and 1.28 for AD Ceuta FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mallorca and AD Ceuta FC play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.