⚽ Premier League

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Shakhtar Donetsk face Polessya in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Shakhtar Donetsk have 4 wins from their last 5, while Polessya have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.7-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.36

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.70 – 1.07 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	6.7%	3.6%	1.3%	0.3%
1	10.7%	11.4%	6.1%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.1%	9.7%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
3	5.1%	5.5%	2.9%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.2%	2.3%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawPolessya win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (54%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.10 (+9.9% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 2.10, 52% model probability, +9.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Shakhtar Donetsk 52%Draw 25%Polessya 23%

52%25%23%

52%

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

+9.9%

Best value: Over 2.5

📈 Recent form

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Kudrivka.

WFC Kharkiv 0-1 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
WEpitsentr Dunayivtsi 0-2 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
WShakhtar Donetsk 5-1 KudrivkaPremier League
DBursaspor 0-0 Shakhtar DonetskFriendlies Clubs
WHNK Gorica 0-2 Shakhtar DonetskFriendlies Clubs

Polessya

Polessya come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to FC Kharkiv. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Zorya Luhansk.

LPolessya 1-2 Zorya LuhanskPremier League
WPolessya 3-1 FC KharkivPremier League
WChornomorets 1-2 PolessyaPremier League
LFC Copenhagen 2-1 PolessyaUEFA Europa Conference
DPolessya 3-3 FC CopenhagenUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Shakhtar Donetsk at 52% to win and Polessya at 23%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Polessya Win	23%	@ 4.33	+0.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win	52%	@ 1.77	-8.9%
Draw	25%	@ 3.30	-16.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Polessya or Draw at 1.95 (48% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Polessya or Draw	48%	@ 1.95	-6.0%
Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw	76%	@ 1.17	-10.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	30%	@ 3.70	+11.5%
Over 2.5	52%	@ 2.10	+9.9%
Over 1.5	76%	@ 1.36	+3.9%
Under 3.5	70%	@ 1.25	-12.7%
Under 2.5	48%	@ 1.70	-19.0%
Under 1.5	24%	@ 2.95	-30.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.85	-0.2%
BTTS No	46%	@ 1.77	-18.5%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.10 (+9.9% value).

Who is the favourite for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?

Our model makes a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya.

What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.07 for Polessya. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Shakhtar Donetsk and Polessya play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.