Ascoli vs Carrarese Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ascoli vs Carrarese in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

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Result: Ascoli 1-1 Carrarese

Ascoli vs Carrarese finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Ascoli face Carrarese in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ascoli vs Carrarese with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.44

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.10 – 0.53 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
1	15.1%	8.0%	2.1%	0.4%	0.0%
2	15.9%	8.4%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
3	11.1%	5.9%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%
4	5.8%	3.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 2-0

Ascoli winDrawCarrarese win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Ascoli vs Carrarese comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 74% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points no (64%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

51%

Under 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Ascoli

Ascoli come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Avellino. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Padova.

WAscoli 3-1 AvellinoSerie B
LPadova 1-0 AscoliSerie B
WAscoli 1-0 BeneventoSerie B
DAscoli 1-1 CarrareseSerie B
WHellas Verona 1-2 AscoliSerie B

Carrarese

Carrarese come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 6. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Benevento.

LCarrarese 0-1 BeneventoSerie B
LCatanzaro 1-0 CarrareseSerie B
LCarrarese 0-1 EmpoliSerie B
DAscoli 1-1 CarrareseSerie B
LCarrarese 1-2 MantovaSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ascoli or Draw at 1.21 (91% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Ascoli or Draw	91%	76%	@ 1.21
Carrarese or Draw	25%	54%	@ 1.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-0.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	64%	@ 1.44
Under 3.5	73%	81%	@ 1.14
Under 2.5	51%	62%	@ 1.49
Over 2.5	49%	38%	@ 2.40
Over 3.5	27%	19%	@ 4.75
Under 1.5	26%	36%	@ 2.55

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	64%	56%	@ 1.63
BTTS Yes	36%	44%	@ 2.06

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ascoli vs Carrarese?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Carrarese?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.10 for Ascoli and 0.53 for Carrarese. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Ascoli and Carrarese play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.