⚽ Serie B

Ascoli vs Carrarese Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ascoli vs Carrarese in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Ascoli face Carrarese in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ascoli vs Carrarese with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Ascoli or Draw @ 1.25

91%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.10 – 0.53 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
1	15.1%	8.0%	2.1%	0.4%	0.0%
2	15.9%	8.4%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
3	11.1%	5.9%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%
4	5.8%	3.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 2-0

Ascoli winDrawCarrarese win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Ascoli vs Carrarese is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Ascoli or Draw at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 91%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points no (64%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

51%

Under 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Ascoli

Ascoli come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Potenza. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Genoa.

WHellas Verona 1-2 AscoliSerie B
LGenoa 4-1 AscoliCoppa Italia
WAscoli 3-1 PotenzaCoppa Italia
LAscoli 1-2 LazioFriendlies Clubs
LFrosinone 1-0 AscoliFriendlies Clubs

Carrarese

Carrarese come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Virtus Entella. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Mantova.

LCarrarese 1-2 MantovaSerie B
LTorino 1-0 CarrareseCoppa Italia
WVirtus Entella 0-1 CarrareseFriendlies Clubs
LNapoli 2-0 CarrareseFriendlies Clubs
LVirtus Entella 2-1 CarrareseSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ascoli or Draw at 1.25 (91% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Ascoli or Draw	91%	@ 1.25	n/a
Carrarese or Draw	25%	@ 1.75	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-0.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	74%	@ 1.45	n/a
Under 1.5	26%	@ 2.70	n/a
Over 2.5	49%	@ 2.35	n/a
Under 2.5	51%	@ 1.57	n/a
Over 3.5	27%	@ 4.50	n/a
Under 3.5	73%	@ 1.20	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	36%	@ 2.00	n/a
BTTS No	64%	@ 1.70	n/a

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ascoli vs Carrarese?

Our main pick is Ascoli or Draw at odds 1.25, with 91% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Carrarese?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.10 for Ascoli and 0.53 for Carrarese. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Ascoli and Carrarese play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.