⚽ Championship
West Ham vs Wolves Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for West Ham vs Wolves in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 01 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: West Ham 4-2 Wolves
West Ham vs Wolves finished 4-2. West Ham won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
West Ham face Wolves in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Tuesday 01 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, West Ham won 3, Wolves won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 69%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for West Ham vs Wolves with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for West Ham vs Wolves comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Wolves with a +1.5 start at odds 1.27, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 69%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between West Ham and Wolves. Wins shown from West Ham’s perspective: West Ham 3 · Wolves 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | West Ham | 4 – 2 | Wolves | W |
| 2026-04-10 | West Ham | 4 – 0 | Wolves | W |
| 2026-01-03 | Wolves | 3 – 0 | West Ham | L |
| 2025-04-01 | Wolves | 1 – 0 | West Ham | L |
| 2024-12-09 | West Ham | 2 – 1 | Wolves | W |
📈 Recent form
West Ham come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Wrexham. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Fulham.
- DMillwall 2-2 West HamChampionship
- LWest Ham 2-3 FulhamLeague Cup
- WWest Ham 6-0 WrexhamChampionship
- WBolton 2-3 West HamChampionship
- WWest Ham 3-0 DerbyChampionship
Wolves come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to West Brom. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Everton.
- WWolves 1-0 West BromChampionship
- LEverton 1-0 WolvesLeague Cup
- WSheffield Utd 0-1 WolvesChampionship
- DBirmingham 2-2 WolvesChampionship
- LWest Ham 4-2 WolvesChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. SoucekAnkle Injury
- J. BellegardeHamstring Injury
- S. JohnstoneShoulder Injury
- Y. MosqueraAnkle Injury
- R. SaidKnee Injury
- K. TrippierKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices West Ham at 17% to win and Wolves at 14%, with the draw at 69%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 69% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| West Ham Win | 17% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| Wolves Win | 14% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is West Ham or Draw at 1.29 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham or Draw | 65% | 73% | @ 1.29 |
| Wolves or Draw | 62% | 54% | @ 1.76 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 74% | 69% | @ 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 76% | @ 1.23 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 48% | @ 1.94 |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 52% | @ 1.79 |
| Under 1.5 | 27% | 24% | @ 3.80 |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 31% | @ 3.05 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 56% | @ 1.66 |
| BTTS No | 48% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when West Ham or Wolves is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves +2 | 88% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Wolves +1.75 | 85% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Wolves +1.5 | 82% | 74% | @ 1.27 |
| Wolves +1.25 | 77% | 71% | @ 1.34 |
| West Ham +1 | 75% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Wolves +1 | 72% | 67% | @ 1.43 |
| West Ham +0.75 | 70% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Wolves +0.75 | 67% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| West Ham +0.5 | 65% | 73% | 1.29 |
| Wolves +0.5 | 62% | 52% | @ 1.81 |
| West Ham +0.25 | 58% | 69% | 1.37 |
| Wolves +0.25 | 55% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| West Ham 0 | 52% | 64% | 1.47 |
| Wolves 0 | 48% | 36% | @ 2.65 |
| West Ham -0.25 | 45% | 55% | 1.74 |
| Wolves -0.25 | 42% | 31% | @ 3.10 |
| West Ham -0.5 | 38% | 48% | 1.98 |
| Wolves -0.5 | 35% | 27% | @ 3.43 |
| West Ham -0.75 | 33% | 41% | 2.31 |
| Wolves -0.75 | 30% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| West Ham -1 | 28% | 33% | 2.86 |
| Wolves -1 | 25% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| West Ham -1.25 | 23% | 29% | 3.23 |
| West Ham -1.5 | 17% | 26% | 3.60 |
| West Ham -1.75 | 15% | 21% | 4.40 |
| West Ham -2 | 12% | 14% | 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for West Ham vs Wolves?
Our model's main pick is Wolves with a +1.5 start at odds 1.27, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for West Ham vs Wolves?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 69%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for West Ham vs Wolves.
What is the predicted score for West Ham vs Wolves?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.45 for West Ham and 1.12 for Wolves. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do West Ham and Wolves play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 01 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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