vs
⚽ Premier League
Ipswich vs Liverpool Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ipswich vs Liverpool in the Premier League. Kick-off Friday 04 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Ipswich 0-2 Liverpool
Ipswich vs Liverpool finished 0-2. Liverpool won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Ipswich face Liverpool in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Friday 04 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Liverpool won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 62%, projecting a 1.2-2.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ipswich vs Liverpool with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Ipswich vs Liverpool is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Liverpool win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 62%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (65%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 2.12 (+18.3% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 3 meetings between Ipswich and Liverpool. Wins shown from Ipswich’s perspective: Liverpool 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Ipswich | 0 – 2 | Liverpool | L |
| 2025-01-25 | Liverpool | 4 – 1 | Ipswich | L |
| 2024-08-17 | Ipswich | 0 – 2 | Liverpool | L |
📈 Recent form
Ipswich come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Leicester. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Liverpool.
- LIpswich 0-2 LiverpoolPremier League
- LManchester United 5-2 IpswichPremier League
- WIpswich 3-1 LeicesterLeague Cup
- WIpswich 2-1 SunderlandPremier League
- WUnion Berlin 2-4 IpswichFriendlies Clubs
Liverpool come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Ipswich. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Monaco.
- WIpswich 0-2 LiverpoolPremier League
- DLiverpool 2-2 Nottingham ForestPremier League
- DNewcastle 2-2 LiverpoolPremier League
- WLiverpool 2-0 ComoFriendlies Clubs
- LLiverpool 2-3 MonacoFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. MatusiwaInjury
- J. PhilogeneInjury
- J. TaylorKnee Injury
- FlorentinoNot in squad
- C. BradleyKnee Injury
- F. ChiesaBack Injury
- H. EkitikeAchilles Tendon Injury
- J. GomezInjury
- G. LeoniKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Ipswich at 14% to win and Liverpool at 62%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 24% | @ 4.90 | +15.2% |
| Ipswich Win | 14% | @ 6.25 | -9.4% |
| Liverpool Win | 62% | @ 1.45 | -10.1% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ipswich or Draw at 2.70 (37% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich or Draw | 37% | @ 2.70 | -0.6% |
| Liverpool or Draw | 84% | @ 1.12 | -5.6% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-2.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 56% | @ 2.12 | +18.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | @ 1.44 | +8.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | @ 1.12 | +1.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 44% | @ 1.71 | -24.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | @ 2.75 | -32.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 10% | @ 6.10 | -42.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | @ 1.56 | +1.9% |
| BTTS No | 35% | @ 2.30 | -20.3% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Ipswich or Liverpool is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich 0 | 26% | @ 4.42 | +16.2% |
| Ipswich +0.75 | 43% | @ 2.39 | +2.7% |
| Ipswich +1 | 49% | @ 2.07 | +1.8% |
| Ipswich +0.25 | 32% | @ 3.23 | +1.7% |
| Ipswich +1.25 | 55% | @ 1.83 | +1.6% |
| Ipswich +1.5 | 62% | @ 1.65 | +1.4% |
| Ipswich +1.75 | 66% | 1.50 | -0.1% |
| Ipswich +0.5 | 37% | 2.64 | -2.7% |
| Liverpool +0.5 | 84% | 1.14 | -3.9% |
| Ipswich +2 | 71% | 1.34 | -4.2% |
| Liverpool +0.75 | 87% | 1.10 | -4.3% |
| Liverpool +0.25 | 79% | 1.21 | -4.4% |
| Liverpool -2 | 29% | 3.27 | -6.0% |
| Liverpool -0.25 | 68% | 1.35 | -7.2% |
| Liverpool -0.5 | 63% | 1.47 | -7.2% |
| Liverpool -1.25 | 45% | 2.04 | -8.7% |
| Ipswich -0.75 | 13% | 7.00 | -9.1% |
| Liverpool -0.75 | 57% | 1.59 | -9.1% |
| Liverpool 0 | 74% | 1.22 | -10.4% |
| Liverpool -1 | 51% | 1.76 | -10.7% |
| Liverpool -1.75 | 34% | 2.61 | -12.3% |
| Liverpool -1.5 | 38% | 2.21 | -15.2% |
| Ipswich -0.5 | 16% | 5.33 | -16.5% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ipswich vs Liverpool?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 2.12 (+18.3% value).
Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Liverpool?
Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 62%. It projects an expected 1.2-2.8 scoreline for Ipswich vs Liverpool.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Liverpool?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Ipswich and 2.76 for Liverpool. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Ipswich and Liverpool play?
Kick-off is Friday 04 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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