⚽ Premier League
Ipswich vs Liverpool Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ipswich vs Liverpool in the Premier League. Kick-off Friday 04 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Ipswich 0-2 Liverpool
Ipswich vs Liverpool finished 0-2. Liverpool won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Ipswich face Liverpool in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Friday 04 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Liverpool won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 62%, projecting a 1.2-2.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ipswich vs Liverpool with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Ipswich vs Liverpool comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Liverpool win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 62%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (65%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 3 meetings between Ipswich and Liverpool. Wins shown from Ipswich’s perspective: Liverpool 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Ipswich | 0 – 2 | Liverpool | L |
| 2025-01-25 | Liverpool | 4 – 1 | Ipswich | L |
| 2024-08-17 | Ipswich | 0 – 2 | Liverpool | L |
📈 Recent form
Ipswich come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Crystal Palace. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Everton.
- LEverton 1-0 IpswichPremier League
- LIpswich 2-4 ArsenalLeague Cup
- WCrystal Palace 2-3 IpswichPremier League
- LIpswich 0-2 LiverpoolPremier League
- LManchester United 5-2 IpswichPremier League
Liverpool come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Tottenham.
- WBournemouth 0-1 LiverpoolPremier League
- WLiverpool 3-1 TottenhamLeague Cup
- DLiverpool 0-0 FulhamPremier League
- WLiverpool 2-1 Atlético MadridUEFA Champions League
- WIpswich 0-2 LiverpoolPremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. MatusiwaInjury
- J. PhilogeneInjury
- J. TaylorKnee Injury
- FlorentinoNot in squad
- C. BradleyKnee Injury
- F. ChiesaBack Injury
- H. EkitikeAchilles Tendon Injury
- J. GomezInjury
- G. LeoniKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Ipswich at 14% to win and Liverpool at 62%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Win | 62% | 65% | @ 1.45 |
| Draw | 24% | 19% | @ 4.90 |
| Ipswich Win | 14% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Liverpool or Draw at 1.12 (84% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool or Draw | 84% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| Ipswich or Draw | 37% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-2.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| Under 3.5 | 44% | 55% | @ 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 10% | 16% | @ 6.10 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 60% | @ 1.56 |
| BTTS No | 35% | 40% | @ 2.30 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Ipswich or Liverpool is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool +0.75 | 87% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Liverpool +0.5 | 84% | 82% | 1.14 |
| Liverpool +0.25 | 79% | – | 1.21 |
| Liverpool 0 | 74% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Ipswich +2 | 71% | 71% | 1.34 |
| Liverpool -0.25 | 68% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Ipswich +1.75 | 66% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Liverpool -0.5 | 63% | 64% | 1.47 |
| Ipswich +1.5 | 62% | 57% | @ 1.65 |
| Liverpool -0.75 | 57% | 60% | 1.59 |
| Ipswich +1.25 | 55% | 53% | @ 1.83 |
| Liverpool -1 | 51% | 54% | 1.76 |
| Ipswich +1 | 49% | 46% | @ 2.07 |
| Liverpool -1.25 | 45% | 47% | 2.04 |
| Ipswich +0.75 | 43% | 40% | @ 2.39 |
| Liverpool -1.5 | 38% | 43% | 2.21 |
| Ipswich +0.5 | 37% | 36% | 2.64 |
| Liverpool -1.75 | 34% | 37% | 2.61 |
| Ipswich +0.25 | 32% | 30% | @ 3.23 |
| Liverpool -2 | 29% | 29% | 3.27 |
| Ipswich 0 | 26% | 22% | @ 4.42 |
| Ipswich -0.5 | 16% | 18% | 5.33 |
| Ipswich -0.75 | 13% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ipswich vs Liverpool?
Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.
Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Liverpool?
Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 62%. It projects an expected 1.2-2.8 scoreline for Ipswich vs Liverpool.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Liverpool?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Ipswich and 2.76 for Liverpool. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Ipswich and Liverpool play?
Kick-off is Friday 04 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


