⚽ Championship
Millwall vs Wrexham Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Millwall vs Wrexham in the Championship. Kick-off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Millwall 0-3 Wrexham
Millwall vs Wrexham finished 0-3. Wrexham won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Millwall face Wrexham in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Millwall have 3 wins from their last 5, while Wrexham have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Millwall win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.5-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Millwall vs Wrexham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Millwall vs Wrexham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Millwall win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (54%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Millwall come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Bolton. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Blackburn.
- DMillwall 2-2 West HamChampionship
- DMiddlesbrough 2-2 MillwallChampionship
- LBlackburn 3-1 MillwallChampionship
- LMillwall 0-1 NewcastleLeague Cup
- WMillwall 4-0 BoltonChampionship
Wrexham come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Millwall. Their only defeat in that run was 0-6 at West Ham.
- WWrexham 2-1 SouthamptonChampionship
- LWest Ham 6-0 WrexhamChampionship
- DWrexham 1-1 BurnleyChampionship
- DSwansea 0-0 WrexhamChampionship
- WMillwall 0-3 WrexhamChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. CramaNot in squad
- L. CundleNot in squad
- A. DoughtyHamstring Injury
- M. IvanovicHamstring Injury
- L. JensenNot in squad
- R. LeonardHamstring Injury
- M. LuongoKnee Injury
- M. ServaisHamstring Injury
- L. CacaceCalf Injury
- S. RevanHamstring Injury
- B. SheafNot in squad
- G. ThomasonThigh Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Millwall at 49% to win and Wrexham at 23%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Millwall win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall Win | 49% | 43% | @ 2.18 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
| Wrexham Win | 23% | 29% | @ 3.20 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Millwall or Draw at 1.33 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall or Draw | 75% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Wrexham or Draw | 50% | 57% | @ 1.65 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 78% | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 52% | @ 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 48% | @ 1.95 |
| Under 1.5 | 32% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 54% | 47% | @ 1.98 |
| BTTS Yes | 46% | 53% | @ 1.74 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Millwall or Wrexham is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall +1.5 | 91% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Millwall +1.25 | 87% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Millwall +1 | 83% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Wrexham +2 | 81% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Millwall +0.75 | 79% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Wrexham +1.75 | 77% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Millwall +0.5 | 75% | 70% | @ 1.34 |
| Wrexham +1.5 | 74% | 77% | 1.21 |
| Millwall +0.25 | 69% | 66% | 1.44 |
| Wrexham +1.25 | 68% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Millwall 0 | 63% | 60% | 1.59 |
| Wrexham +1 | 62% | 72% | 1.33 |
| Millwall -0.25 | 57% | 51% | @ 1.92 |
| Wrexham +0.75 | 56% | 63% | 1.51 |
| Millwall -0.5 | 50% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Wrexham +0.5 | 50% | 56% | 1.67 |
| Millwall -0.75 | 44% | 37% | @ 2.56 |
| Wrexham +0.25 | 43% | 49% | 1.96 |
| Millwall -1 | 38% | 28% | @ 3.36 |
| Wrexham 0 | 37% | 40% | 2.35 |
| Millwall -1.25 | 32% | 25% | @ 3.79 |
| Wrexham -0.25 | 31% | 34% | 2.81 |
| Millwall -1.5 | 26% | 23% | @ 4.05 |
| Wrexham -0.5 | 25% | 30% | 3.18 |
| Millwall -1.75 | 23% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Wrexham -0.75 | 21% | 23% | 4.18 |
| Millwall -2 | 19% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Wrexham -1 | 17% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Wrexham -1.25 | 13% | 14% | 6.60 |
| Wrexham -1.5 | 9% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Millwall vs Wrexham?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.
Who is the favourite for Millwall vs Wrexham?
Our model makes a Millwall win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.5-0.9 scoreline for Millwall vs Wrexham.
What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Wrexham?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.47 for Millwall and 0.90 for Wrexham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Millwall and Wrexham play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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