⚽ Süper Lig
Başakşehir vs Galatasaray Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Başakşehir vs Galatasaray in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Friday 04 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Başakşehir 2-3 Galatasaray
Başakşehir vs Galatasaray finished 2-3. Galatasaray won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Başakşehir face Galatasaray in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Friday 04 September 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Başakşehir have 3 wins from their last 5, while Galatasaray have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Başakşehir win the most likely result at 68%, projecting a 2.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Başakşehir vs Galatasaray with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 7.6% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Başakşehir vs Galatasaray comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Başakşehir with a +2 start at odds 1.26, with a 97% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Başakşehir win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 68%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (52%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Başakşehir come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Gençlerbirliği. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Amed.
- WBaşakşehir 4-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
- LAmed 5-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- LBaşakşehir 2-3 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- DBaşakşehir 1-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
- LTrabzonspor 2-1 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
Galatasaray come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Kocaelispor. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Trabzonspor.
- LTrabzonspor 4-0 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- WGalatasaray 1-0 KocaelisporSüper Lig
- LSporting CP 3-1 GalatasarayUEFA Champions League
- WBaşakşehir 2-3 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- WGalatasaray 3-2 GöztepeSüper Lig
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- E. ViscaNot in squad
- G. GuvencMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Başakşehir at 68% to win and Galatasaray at 15%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes a Başakşehir win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir Win | 68% | 22% | @ 4.30 |
| Draw | 16% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
| Galatasaray Win | 15% | 56% | @ 1.68 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Başakşehir or Draw at 2.05 (86% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir or Draw | 86% | 44% | @ 2.05 |
| Galatasaray or Draw | 34% | 78% | @ 1.18 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 82% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 62% | @ 1.47 |
| Under 3.5 | 56% | 58% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 38% | @ 2.45 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | 18% | @ 5.20 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 61% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 48% | 39% | @ 2.35 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Başakşehir or Galatasaray is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir +2 | 97% | 76% | @ 1.26 |
| Başakşehir +1.75 | 97% | 69% | @ 1.39 |
| Başakşehir +1.5 | 96% | 63% | @ 1.49 |
| Başakşehir +1.25 | 94% | 58% | @ 1.66 |
| Başakşehir +1 | 91% | 52% | @ 1.83 |
| Başakşehir +0.75 | 89% | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| Başakşehir +0.5 | 86% | 41% | @ 2.31 |
| Başakşehir +0.25 | 81% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
| Başakşehir -0.25 | 71% | 23% | @ 4.24 |
| Başakşehir -0.5 | 66% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| Başakşehir -0.75 | 60% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Galatasaray +0.75 | 40% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Galatasaray +0.5 | 34% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Galatasaray +0.25 | 29% | 77% | 1.23 |
| Galatasaray 0 | 24% | – | 1.30 |
| Galatasaray -0.25 | 19% | 67% | 1.43 |
| Galatasaray -0.5 | 14% | 59% | 1.59 |
| Galatasaray -0.75 | 11% | 55% | 1.74 |
| Galatasaray -1 | 9% | 48% | 1.97 |
| Galatasaray -1.25 | 7% | 42% | 2.25 |
| Galatasaray -1.5 | 4% | 37% | 2.54 |
| Galatasaray -1.75 | 3% | 31% | 3.05 |
| Galatasaray -2 | 3% | 24% | 3.88 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Başakşehir vs Galatasaray?
Our model's main pick is Başakşehir with a +2 start at odds 1.26, with a 97% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Başakşehir vs Galatasaray?
Our model makes a Başakşehir win the most likely result at 68%. It projects an expected 2.4-1.0 scoreline for Başakşehir vs Galatasaray.
What is the predicted score for Başakşehir vs Galatasaray?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.37 for Başakşehir and 1.00 for Galatasaray. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Başakşehir and Galatasaray play?
Kick-off is Friday 04 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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