Boulogne
Dijon⚽ Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Dijon Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Boulogne vs Dijon in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 04 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: Boulogne 1-1 Dijon
Boulogne vs Dijon finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Boulogne face Dijon in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 04 September 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Boulogne have no wins from their last 4, while Dijon have no wins from their last 3. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Boulogne vs Dijon with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.9% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Boulogne vs Dijon comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Dijon with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 79% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points no (50%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Boulogne come into this game with no wins and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Nantes.
- LBoulogne 1-2 NantesLigue 2
- DClermont Foot 0-0 BoulogneLigue 2
- DBoulogne 1-1 DijonLigue 2
- DMontpellier 0-0 BoulogneLigue 2
- DBoulogne 1-1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
Dijon come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Annecy. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Saint Etienne.
- WAnnecy 1-2 DijonLigue 2
- WDijon 3-2 LavalLigue 2
- DBoulogne 1-1 DijonLigue 2
- LDijon 2-3 Saint EtienneLigue 2
- DClermont Foot 1-1 DijonLigue 2
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dijon or Draw at 1.40 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon or Draw | 75% | 65% | @ 1.40 |
| Boulogne or Draw | 50% | 65% | @ 1.40 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75% | 79% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 65% | @ 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 60% | @ 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 40% | @ 2.30 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 35% | @ 2.65 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 21% | @ 4.35 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 50%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 50% | 53% | @ 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 47% | @ 1.92 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Boulogne or Dijon is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon +1.5 | 91% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Dijon +1.25 | 87% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Dijon +1 | 83% | 80% | 1.19 |
| Dijon +0.75 | 79% | 71% | 1.33 |
| Dijon +0.5 | 75% | 64% | 1.47 |
| Boulogne +1.5 | 73% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Dijon +0.25 | 69% | 58% | 1.64 |
| Boulogne +1.25 | 67% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Dijon 0 | 63% | 49% | 1.92 |
| Boulogne +1 | 61% | – | 1.18 |
| Dijon -0.25 | 57% | 40% | 2.36 |
| Boulogne +0.75 | 56% | 72% | 1.31 |
| Dijon -0.5 | 50% | 35% | 2.69 |
| Boulogne +0.5 | 50% | 65% | 1.44 |
| Dijon -0.75 | 44% | 28% | 3.43 |
| Boulogne +0.25 | 43% | 60% | 1.60 |
| Boulogne 0 | 37% | 51% | 1.88 |
| Dijon -1.25 | 33% | 17% | 5.50 |
| Boulogne -0.25 | 31% | 42% | 2.28 |
| Dijon -1.5 | 27% | 16% | 5.90 |
| Boulogne -0.5 | 25% | 36% | 2.61 |
| Boulogne -0.75 | 21% | 29% | 3.31 |
| Boulogne -1 | 17% | 20% | 4.75 |
| Boulogne -1.25 | 13% | 17% | 5.50 |
| Boulogne -1.5 | 9% | 16% | 5.90 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Boulogne vs Dijon?
Our model's main pick is Dijon with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.
What is the predicted score for Boulogne vs Dijon?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.99 for Boulogne and 1.55 for Dijon. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Boulogne and Dijon play?
Kick-off is Friday 04 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
