⚽ Championship

Preston vs Blackburn Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Preston vs Blackburn in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Preston face Blackburn in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Preston have 0 wins from their last 3, while Blackburn have 1 win from their last 3. In their last 4 meetings, Preston won 1, Blackburn won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.2-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Preston vs Blackburn with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.25

75%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.20 – 1.34 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	10.6%	7.1%	3.2%	1.1%
1	9.5%	12.7%	8.5%	3.8%	1.3%
2	5.7%	7.6%	5.1%	2.3%	0.8%
3	2.3%	3.0%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Preston winDrawBlackburn win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Preston vs Blackburn is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Blackburn win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

Best value

Blackburn or Draw at odds 1.50, 66% model probability, -1.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Preston 32%Draw 30%Blackburn 37%

32%30%37%

37%

Blackburn Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

-1.4%

Best value: Blackburn or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Preston and Blackburn. Wins shown from Preston’s perspective: Preston 1 · 2 drawn · Blackburn 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-01-31	Blackburn	2 – 1	Preston	L
2024-09-22	Preston	0 – 0	Blackburn	D
2024-02-17	Preston	2 – 2	Blackburn	D
2023-11-10	Blackburn	1 – 2	Preston	W

📈 Recent form

Preston

Preston come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Bristol City.

LPreston 1-3 Bristol CityChampionship
LCharlton 1-0 PrestonChampionship
LPreston 0-4 EvertonLeague Cup
LPreston 1-3 WolvesChampionship
LBolton 2-1 PrestonChampionship

Blackburn

Blackburn come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Middlesbrough. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to QPR.

DLincoln 0-0 BlackburnChampionship
LBlackburn 1-2 QPRChampionship
LBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdLeague Cup
WBlackburn 2-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
DWolves 2-2 BlackburnChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Preston

B. PottsAnkle Injury
T. CarrollAnkle Injury
A. McCannInjury

Blackburn

T. AtchesonSuspended (red card)
M. BaradjiHamstring Injury
H. CarterInjury
M. JorgensenHamstring Injury
A. KargboMuscle Injury
L. MillerAchilles Tendon Injury
Y. OhashiNot in squad
S. WhartonAchilles Tendon Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Preston at 32% to win and Blackburn at 37%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Blackburn Win	37%	@ 2.80	+4.4%
Draw	30%	@ 3.15	-3.8%
Preston Win	32%	@ 2.48	-20.2%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Blackburn or Draw at 1.50 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Blackburn or Draw	66%	@ 1.50	-1.4%
Preston or Draw	61%	@ 1.41	-14.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	47%	@ 2.05	-4.4%
Over 1.5	72%	@ 1.32	-4.9%
Under 3.5	75%	@ 1.25	-6.4%
Over 3.5	25%	@ 3.70	-7.1%
Under 2.5	53%	@ 1.72	-8.2%
Under 1.5	28%	@ 3.15	-12.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	52%	@ 1.78	-6.9%
BTTS No	48%	@ 1.93	-8.0%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	37%
Dixon-Coles	Away	41%
GradientBoosting	Away	36%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.24 for the home side, 1.35 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Preston vs Blackburn?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 75% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Preston vs Blackburn?

Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline for Preston vs Blackburn.

What is the predicted score for Preston vs Blackburn?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Preston and 1.34 for Blackburn. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Preston and Blackburn play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.