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⚽ Ligue 2
Reims vs Guingamp Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Reims vs Guingamp in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Reims face Guingamp in the Ligue 2, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 12:00 UTC. Recent form: Reims have 2 wins from their last 4, while Guingamp have 1 win from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Reims win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 2.2-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Reims vs Guingamp with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Reims vs Guingamp is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is a Reims win at odds 1.76, the selection our model is most confident in at 66%. On the match result, the model rates a Reims win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (54%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Reims come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at RED Star FC 93.
- WRED Star FC 93 1-4 ReimsLigue 2
- WReims 3-1 AnnecyLigue 2
- DReims 3-3 DunkerqueLigue 2
- DClermont Foot 0-0 ReimsLigue 2
- WKortrijk 1-2 ReimsFriendlies Clubs
Guingamp come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Boulogne. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Sochaux.
- DGuingamp 3-3 NantesLigue 2
- LSochaux 1-0 GuingampLigue 2
- WGuingamp 1-0 BoulogneLigue 2
- LMetz 2-1 GuingampLigue 2
- DStade Brestois 29 3-3 GuingampFriendlies Clubs
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Reims at 66% to win and Guingamp at 14%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Reims win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reims Win | 66% | @ 1.76 | +15.4% |
| Draw | 21% | @ 3.70 | -23.8% |
| Guingamp Win | 14% | @ 4.30 | -40.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Reims or Draw at 1.17 (86% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reims or Draw | 86% | @ 1.17 | +0.4% |
| Guingamp or Draw | 34% | @ 1.95 | -33.1% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 38% | @ 2.88 | +10.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | @ 1.72 | +4.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | @ 1.21 | -0.7% |
| Under 3.5 | 62% | @ 1.36 | -16.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | @ 1.96 | -23.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | @ 3.90 | -30.1% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 46% | @ 2.02 | -7.5% |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | @ 1.66 | -10.0% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 69% |
| Dixon-Coles | Home | 62% |
Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.
Expected goals: 2.04 for the home side, 0.82 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Reims vs Guingamp?
Our main pick is a Reims win at odds 1.76, with 66% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for Reims vs Guingamp?
Our model makes a Reims win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 2.2-0.9 scoreline for Reims vs Guingamp.
What is the predicted score for Reims vs Guingamp?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.21 for Reims and 0.93 for Guingamp. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Reims and Guingamp play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 12:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
