Sat 5 Sep1-0Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Konyaspor

Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor finished 1-0. Erzurumspor FK won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Erzurumspor FK face Konyaspor in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Erzurumspor FK have no wins from their last 3, while Konyaspor have no wins from their last 5. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

88%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.03 – 1.61 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.6%	4.2%	3.4%	1.8%	0.7%
1	5.3%	8.6%	6.9%	3.7%	1.5%
2	5.4%	8.7%	7.0%	3.8%	1.5%
3	3.7%	5.9%	4.7%	2.5%	1.0%
4	1.9%	3.0%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%

Projected score: 2-1

Erzurumspor FK winDrawKonyaspor win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 88% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (70%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

70%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Erzurumspor FK

Erzurumspor FK come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Samsunspor. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Beşiktaş.

WErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LBeşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
WErzurumspor FK 1-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
DGençlerbirliği 1-1 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
LErzurumspor FK 0-4 GalatasaraySüper Lig

Konyaspor

Konyaspor come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Trabzonspor. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Erzurumspor FK.

DKasımpaşa 0-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
WKonyaspor 1-0 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
LErzurumspor FK 1-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
LKonyaspor 1-2 KocaelisporSüper Lig
LFenerbahçe 4-2 KonyasporSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Erzurumspor FK

No absentees reported.

Konyaspor

E. BardhiSuspended (red card)

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Erzurumspor FK or Draw at 1.34 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Erzurumspor FK or Draw	71%	68%	@ 1.34
Konyaspor or Draw	55%	59%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	88%	74%	@ 1.25
Over 2.5	70%	49%	@ 1.86
Under 3.5	51%	71%	@ 1.29
Over 3.5	49%	29%	@ 3.20
Under 2.5	30%	51%	@ 1.82
Under 1.5	12%	26%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	70%	55%	@ 1.68
BTTS No	30%	45%	@ 2.02

📈 How the market moved

Erzurumspor FK 40%Draw 29%Konyaspor 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 88% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.03 for Erzurumspor FK and 1.61 for Konyaspor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Erzurumspor FK and Konyaspor play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.