⚽ Championship
West Brom vs Watford Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for West Brom vs Watford in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: West Brom 1-0 Watford
West Brom vs Watford finished 1-0. West Brom won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
West Brom face Watford in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: West Brom have 2 wins from their last 3, while Watford have 1 win from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, West Brom won 3, Watford won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a West Brom win the most likely result at 59%, projecting a 1.8-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for West Brom vs Watford with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 12.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for West Brom vs Watford comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is West Brom to win or draw at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a West Brom win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 59%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points no (54%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between West Brom and Watford. Wins shown from West Brom’s perspective: West Brom 3 · 1 drawn · Watford 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | West Brom | 1 – 0 | Watford | W |
| 2026-04-21 | West Brom | 3 – 0 | Watford | W |
| 2025-04-12 | West Brom | 2 – 1 | Watford | W |
| 2024-12-15 | Watford | 2 – 1 | West Brom | L |
| 2024-04-01 | West Brom | 2 – 2 | Watford | D |
📈 Recent form
West Brom come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Derby. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Wolves.
- LWolves 1-0 West BromChampionship
- DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
- WDerby 0-1 West BromChampionship
- WWest Brom 1-0 WatfordChampionship
- DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship
Watford come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Preston. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Bristol City.
- LBristol City 1-0 WatfordChampionship
- LWatford 1-2 Stoke CityChampionship
- WWatford 2-1 PrestonChampionship
- LWest Brom 1-0 WatfordChampionship
- LSwansea 2-0 WatfordChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. JohnstonBroken Leg
- T. AkomeahLacking Match Fitness
- K. BaahKnock
- M. BolaHamstring Injury
- J. GrievesLacking Match Fitness
- J. NgakiaThigh Injury
- O. H. TraoreInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices West Brom at 59% to win and Watford at 17%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a West Brom win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom Win | 59% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
| Watford Win | 17% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is West Brom or Draw at 1.24 (82% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom or Draw | 82% | 76% | @ 1.24 |
| Watford or Draw | 40% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 74% | 74% | @ 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 53% | @ 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 47% | @ 1.96 |
| Under 1.5 | 27% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 54% | 49% | @ 1.90 |
| BTTS Yes | 46% | 51% | @ 1.81 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when West Brom or Watford is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom +1 | 88% | 86% | 1.10 |
| West Brom +0.75 | 85% | 82% | 1.16 |
| West Brom +0.5 | 82% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| West Brom +0.25 | 76% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Watford +2 | 74% | 84% | 1.12 |
| West Brom 0 | 71% | 69% | 1.40 |
| Watford +1.75 | 70% | 77% | 1.22 |
| Watford +1.5 | 65% | 72% | 1.32 |
| West Brom -0.25 | 65% | 58% | @ 1.64 |
| West Brom -0.5 | 60% | 51% | @ 1.90 |
| Watford +1.25 | 59% | 69% | 1.39 |
| West Brom -0.75 | 53% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Watford +1 | 53% | 64% | 1.49 |
| West Brom -1 | 47% | 36% | @ 2.66 |
| Watford +0.75 | 47% | 56% | 1.72 |
| West Brom -1.25 | 41% | 31% | @ 3.06 |
| Watford +0.5 | 40% | 49% | 1.98 |
| Watford +0.25 | 35% | 42% | 2.29 |
| West Brom -1.5 | 35% | 28% | @ 3.42 |
| West Brom -1.75 | 30% | 23% | @ 4.15 |
| Watford 0 | 29% | 31% | 3.04 |
| West Brom -2 | 26% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Watford -0.25 | 24% | 27% | 3.52 |
| Watford -0.5 | 18% | 24% | 4.00 |
| Watford -0.75 | 15% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Watford -1 | 12% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for West Brom vs Watford?
Our model's main pick is West Brom to win or draw at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for West Brom vs Watford?
Our model makes a West Brom win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 1.8-0.8 scoreline for West Brom vs Watford.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Watford?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.80 for West Brom and 0.79 for Watford. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do West Brom and Watford play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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