Sporting Gijon

Sat 5 Sep0-2Finished

Girona

⚽ Segunda División

Sporting Gijon vs Girona Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sporting Gijon vs Girona in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Sporting Gijon 0-2 Girona

Sporting Gijon vs Girona finished 0-2. Girona won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Sporting Gijon face Girona in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Sporting Gijon have 2 wins from their last 3, while Girona have 1 win from their last 3. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sporting Gijon vs Girona with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.29

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.45 – 0.74 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.2%	8.3%	3.1%	0.8%	0.1%
1	16.2%	12.0%	4.4%	1.1%	0.2%
2	11.8%	8.7%	3.2%	0.8%	0.1%
3	5.7%	4.2%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
4	2.1%	1.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Sporting Gijon winDrawGirona win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Girona comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 82% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (60%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

62%

Under 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Sporting Gijon

Sporting Gijon come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at FC Andorra. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Eldense.

WFC Andorra 1-3 Sporting GijonSegunda División
LSporting Gijon 0-1 EldenseSegunda División
LSporting Gijon 0-2 GironaSegunda División
WTenerife 0-1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
WSporting Gijon 1-0 BurgosSegunda División

Girona

Girona come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Las Palmas. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Castellón.

WCadiz 1-2 GironaSegunda División
LGirona 1-2 CastellónSegunda División
WSporting Gijon 0-2 GironaSegunda División
WGirona 5-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
LCordoba 2-1 GironaSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sporting Gijon or Draw at 1.49 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sporting Gijon or Draw	79%	61%	@ 1.49
Girona or Draw	44%	67%	@ 1.37

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	82%	71%	@ 1.29
Over 1.5	64%	73%	@ 1.25
Under 2.5	62%	51%	@ 1.81
Over 2.5	38%	49%	@ 1.87
Under 1.5	36%	27%	@ 3.45
Over 3.5	18%	29%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	60%	45%	@ 2.02
BTTS Yes	40%	55%	@ 1.65

📈 How the market moved

Sporting Gijon 32%Draw 29%Girona 39%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Girona?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Girona?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Sporting Gijon and 0.74 for Girona. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sporting Gijon and Girona play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.