Saint Etienne

Sat 5 Sep3-1Finished

Montpellier

⚽ Ligue 2

Saint Etienne vs Montpellier Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Saint Etienne vs Montpellier in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Saint Etienne 3-1 Montpellier

Saint Etienne vs Montpellier finished 3-1. Saint Etienne won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Saint Etienne face Montpellier in the Ligue 2, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Saint Etienne have 3 wins from their last 3, while Montpellier have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 3 meetings, Saint Etienne won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.0-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Saint Etienne vs Montpellier with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.42

88%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.97 – 0.90 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.4%	13.9%	6.2%	1.9%	0.4%
1	14.9%	13.5%	6.1%	1.8%	0.4%
2	7.3%	6.5%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
3	2.3%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-0

Saint Etienne winDrawMontpellier win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Saint Etienne vs Montpellier comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, with a 88% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Saint Etienne win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean under 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points no (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Saint Etienne 35%Draw 34%Montpellier 31%

35%34%31%

35%

Saint Etienne Win

71%

Under 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Saint Etienne and Montpellier. Wins shown from Saint Etienne’s perspective: Saint Etienne 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-05	Saint Etienne	3 – 1	Montpellier	W
2025-03-16	Montpellier	0 – 2	Saint Etienne	W
2024-11-23	Saint Etienne	1 – 0	Montpellier	W

📈 Recent form

Saint Etienne

Saint Etienne come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Grenoble. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Dunkerque.

DMetz 2-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
LDunkerque 2-1 Saint EtienneLigue 2
WSaint Etienne 3-1 MontpellierLigue 2
WDijon 2-3 Saint EtienneLigue 2
WSaint Etienne 4-0 GrenobleLigue 2

Montpellier

Montpellier come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to PAU. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Saint Etienne.

DReims 1-1 MontpellierLigue 2
WMontpellier 1-0 PAULigue 2
LSaint Etienne 3-1 MontpellierLigue 2
DMontpellier 0-0 BoulogneLigue 2
WDunkerque 0-1 MontpellierLigue 2

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Saint Etienne at 35% to win and Montpellier at 31%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Saint Etienne Win	35%	58%	@ 1.61
Draw	34%	23%	@ 4.10
Montpellier Win	31%	19%	@ 4.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Saint Etienne or Draw at 1.14 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Saint Etienne or Draw	65%	81%	@ 1.14
Montpellier or Draw	61%	42%	@ 2.15

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	88%	65%	@ 1.42
Under 2.5	71%	43%	@ 2.12
Over 1.5	56%	79%	@ 1.17
Under 1.5	44%	21%	@ 4.30
Over 2.5	29%	57%	@ 1.62
Over 3.5	12%	35%	@ 2.63

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	62%	44%	@ 2.05
BTTS Yes	38%	56%	@ 1.64

📈 How the market moved

Saint Etienne 60%Draw 23%Montpellier 16%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Saint Etienne vs Montpellier?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, with a 88% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

Who is the favourite for Saint Etienne vs Montpellier?

Our model makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.0-0.9 scoreline for Saint Etienne vs Montpellier.

What is the predicted score for Saint Etienne vs Montpellier?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-0, based on expected goals of 0.97 for Saint Etienne and 0.90 for Montpellier. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Saint Etienne and Montpellier play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.