Eibar

Sun 6 Sep3-0Finished

Granada CF

⚽ Segunda División

Eibar vs Granada CF Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Eibar vs Granada CF in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 12:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Eibar 3-0 Granada CF

Eibar vs Granada CF finished 3-0. Eibar won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.34, landed.

Eibar face Granada CF in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 12:00 UTC. Recent form: Eibar have 2 wins from their last 3, while Granada CF have 2 wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Eibar win the most likely result at 64%, projecting a 2.2-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Eibar vs Granada CF with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.34

83%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.20 – 1.03 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.0%	4.1%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
1	8.7%	9.0%	4.6%	1.6%	0.4%
2	9.6%	9.9%	5.1%	1.7%	0.4%
3	7.0%	7.2%	3.7%	1.3%	0.3%
4	3.9%	4.0%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-1

Eibar winDrawGranada CF win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Eibar vs Granada CF comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Eibar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 64%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Eibar 64%Draw 20%Granada CF 17%

64%20%17%

64%

Eibar Win

63%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Eibar

Eibar come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Granada CF. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Tenerife.

WEldense 1-2 EibarSegunda División
WEibar 3-0 Granada CFSegunda División
WFC Andorra 0-1 EibarSegunda División
WEibar 1-0 ValladolidSegunda División
LEibar 1-3 TenerifeSegunda División

Granada CF

Granada CF come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Cordoba. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Leganes.

LLeganes 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
DGranada CF 1-1 AlbaceteSegunda División
LEibar 3-0 Granada CFSegunda División
WCordoba 1-3 Granada CFSegunda División
WGranada CF 2-0 MallorcaSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Eibar at 64% to win and Granada CF at 17%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes an Eibar win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Eibar Win	64%	49%	@ 1.83
Draw	20%	28%	@ 3.25
Granada CF Win	17%	23%	@ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Eibar or Draw at 1.18 (84% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Eibar or Draw	84%	77%	@ 1.18
Granada CF or Draw	37%	51%	@ 1.82

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	69%	@ 1.34
Over 2.5	63%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 3.5	60%	76%	@ 1.21
Over 3.5	40%	24%	@ 3.80
Under 2.5	37%	56%	@ 1.63
Under 1.5	17%	31%	@ 2.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	48%	@ 1.91
BTTS No	43%	52%	@ 1.74

📈 How the market moved

Eibar 46%Draw 28%Granada CF 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eibar vs Granada CF?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for Eibar vs Granada CF?

Our model makes an Eibar win the most likely result at 64%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.0 scoreline for Eibar vs Granada CF.

What is the predicted score for Eibar vs Granada CF?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.20 for Eibar and 1.03 for Granada CF. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Eibar and Granada CF play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 12:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.