FC SionFC Sion
Sun 6 Sep3-2Finished
FC ThunFC Thun

⚽ Super League

FC Sion vs FC Thun Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Sion vs FC Thun in the Super League. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Result: FC Sion 3-2 FC Thun

FC Sion vs FC Thun finished 3-2. FC Sion won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Sion face FC Thun in the Super League, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Sion have 2 wins from their last 5, while FC Thun have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, FC Sion won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Sion win the most likely result at 75%, projecting a 3.0-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Sion vs FC Thun with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

πŸ”₯ Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.41
78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 3.00 – 1.12 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.9% 5.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 7.3% 8.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
3 7.3% 8.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
4 5.5% 6.1% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Projected score: 2-1
FC Sion winDrawFC Thun win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Sion vs FC Thun comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Sion win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 75%. Goals lean over 2.5 (78%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

πŸ“Š Key numbers

FC Sion 75%Draw 14%FC Thun 12%
75%14%12%
75%
FC Sion Win
78%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes

πŸ” Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FC Sion and FC Thun. Wins shown from FC Sion’s perspective: FC Sion 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-06 FC Sion 3 – 2 FC Thun W
2026-05-10 FC Sion 2 – 0 FC Thun W

πŸ“ˆ Recent form

FC Sion

FC Sion come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Grasshoppers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • DFC Sion 1-1 FC ZurichSuper League
  • WGrasshoppers 2-5 FC SionSuper League
  • WFC St. Gallen 0-3 FC SionSuper League
  • WFC Sion 3-2 FC ThunSuper League
  • WFC Basel 1893 1-2 FC SionSuper League
FC Thun

FC Thun come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at FC Vaduz. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Grasshoppers.

  • WFC Vaduz 1-2 FC ThunSuper League
  • LFC Thun 0-1 GrasshoppersSuper League
  • LFC Sion 3-2 FC ThunSuper League
  • DFC Thun 0-0 LausanneSuper League
  • WFC St. Gallen 3-4 FC ThunSuper League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Sion at 75% to win and FC Thun at 12%, with the draw at 14%. Our model makes a FC Sion win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC Sion Win 75% 54% @ 1.72
Draw 14% 23% @ 4.10
FC Thun Win 12% 23% @ 4.10

πŸ”€ Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Sion or Draw at 1.19 (90% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC Sion or Draw 90% 77% @ 1.19
FC Thun or Draw 27% 46% @ 2.00

πŸ“ˆ Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.0-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 78% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 92% 84% @ 1.10
Over 2.5 78% 65% @ 1.41
Over 3.5 59% 45% @ 2.07
Under 3.5 41% 55% @ 1.66
Under 2.5 22% 35% @ 2.63
Under 1.5 8% 16% @ 5.80

πŸ₯… Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 63% 64% @ 1.44
BTTS No 37% 36% @ 2.55

πŸ“ˆ How the market moved

18%39%60%09/0109/0209/0309/0409/0509/06

FC Sion 55%Draw 23%FC Thun 22%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Sion vs FC Thun?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

Who is the favourite for FC Sion vs FC Thun?

Our model makes a FC Sion win the most likely result at 75%. It projects an expected 3.0-1.1 scoreline for FC Sion vs FC Thun.

What is the predicted score for FC Sion vs FC Thun?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 3.00 for FC Sion and 1.12 for FC Thun. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Sion and FC Thun play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.