⚽ Super League

FC Sion vs FC Thun Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Sion vs FC Thun in the Super League. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC Sion face FC Thun in the Super League, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Sion have 2 wins from their last 5, while FC Thun have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Sion win the most likely result at 80%, projecting a 3.2-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Sion vs FC Thun with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Sion Win @ 1.72

80%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 3.21 – 0.96 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.5%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
1	5.0%	4.8%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
2	8.0%	7.6%	3.7%	1.2%	0.3%
3	8.5%	8.2%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
4	6.8%	6.6%	3.2%	1.0%	0.2%

Projected score: 3-0

FC Sion winDrawFC Thun win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Sion vs FC Thun is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is a FC Sion win at odds 1.72, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a FC Sion win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 80%. Goals lean over 2.5 (78%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

Best value

FC Sion Win at odds 1.72, 80% model probability, +38.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

FC Sion 80%Draw 12%FC Thun 8%

80%12%

80%

FC Sion Win

78%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

+38.1%

Best value: FC Sion Win

📈 Recent form

FC Sion

FC Sion come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 6-1 at Kerzers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to FC Lugano.

WFC Basel 1893 1-2 FC SionSuper League
LFC Sion 1-2 FC LuganoSuper League
LAjax 5-3 FC SionUEFA Europa Conference
LFC Sion 2-4 AjaxUEFA Europa Conference
WKerzers 1-6 FC SionSchweizer Cup

FC Thun

FC Thun come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 12. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Saxon Sports. Their only defeat in that run was 0-7 at Lech Poznan.

DFC Thun 0-0 LausanneSuper League
WFC ST. Gallen 3-4 FC ThunSuper League
DFC Thun 2-2 Lech PoznanUEFA Europa League
LLech Poznan 7-0 FC ThunUEFA Europa League
WSaxon Sports 0-6 FC ThunSchweizer Cup

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Sion at 80% to win and FC Thun at 8%, with the draw at 12%. Our model makes a FC Sion win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Sion Win	80%	@ 1.72	+38.1%
Draw	12%	@ 4.10	-52.1%
FC Thun Win	8%	@ 4.10	-67.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Sion or Draw at 1.19 (92% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Sion or Draw	92%	@ 1.19	+10.0%
FC Thun or Draw	21%	@ 2.00	-57.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.2-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 78% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	60%	@ 2.07	+23.6%
Over 2.5	78%	@ 1.41	+10.5%
Over 1.5	92%	@ 1.10	+1.0%
Under 3.5	40%	@ 1.66	-33.1%
Under 2.5	22%	@ 2.63	-43.2%
Under 1.5	8%	@ 5.80	-52.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	42%	@ 2.55	+6.0%
BTTS Yes	58%	@ 1.44	-15.8%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	76%
Dixon-Coles	Home	85%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 2.60 for the home side, 0.65 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 3-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%), 3-0 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Sion vs FC Thun?

Our main pick is a FC Sion win at odds 1.72, with 80% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for FC Sion vs FC Thun?

Our model makes a FC Sion win the most likely result at 80%. It projects an expected 3.2-1.0 scoreline for FC Sion vs FC Thun.

What is the predicted score for FC Sion vs FC Thun?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-0, based on expected goals of 3.21 for FC Sion and 0.96 for FC Thun. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Sion and FC Thun play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.