Almeria

Sun 6 Sep3-2Finished

Cadiz

⚽ Segunda División

Almeria vs Cadiz Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Almeria vs Cadiz in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Almeria 3-2 Cadiz

Almeria vs Cadiz finished 3-2. Almeria won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Almeria face Cadiz in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Almeria have 1 win from their last 3, while Cadiz have no wins from their last 3. In their last 3 meetings, Almeria won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Almeria win the most likely result at 68%, projecting a 2.8-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Almeria vs Cadiz with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.66

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.77 – 1.25 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.8%	2.2%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%
1	5.0%	6.2%	3.9%	1.6%	0.5%
2	6.9%	8.6%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
3	6.4%	7.9%	5.0%	2.1%	0.6%
4	4.4%	5.5%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Almeria winDrawCadiz win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Almeria vs Cadiz comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.66, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Almeria win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 68%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Almeria 68%Draw 16%Cadiz 15%

68%16%15%

68%

Almeria Win

76%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Almeria and Cadiz. Wins shown from Almeria’s perspective: Almeria 2 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-06	Almeria	3 – 2	Cadiz	W
2024-05-25	Almeria	6 – 1	Cadiz	W
2023-08-26	Cadiz	1 – 1	Almeria	D

📈 Recent form

Almeria

Almeria come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Eldense. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Sabadell.

WCordoba 0-2 AlmeriaSegunda División
WAlmeria 3-2 CadizSegunda División
LSabadell 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
LTenerife 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
WAlmeria 3-0 EldenseSegunda División

Cadiz

Cadiz come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Girona.

LCadiz 1-2 GironaSegunda División
LCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
LAlmeria 3-2 CadizSegunda División
DCadiz 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
DEldense 2-2 CadizSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Almeria at 68% to win and Cadiz at 15%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes an Almeria win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Almeria Win	68%	63%	@ 1.43
Draw	16%	22%	@ 4.20
Cadiz Win	15%	15%	@ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Almeria or Draw at 1.09 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Almeria or Draw	86%	85%	@ 1.09
Cadiz or Draw	33%	37%	@ 2.48

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.8-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	91%	78%	@ 1.19
Over 2.5	76%	55%	@ 1.66
Over 3.5	57%	35%	@ 2.65
Under 3.5	43%	65%	@ 1.40
Under 2.5	24%	45%	@ 2.04
Under 1.5	9%	22%	@ 4.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	51%	@ 1.79
BTTS No	34%	49%	@ 1.85

📈 How the market moved

Almeria 62%Draw 22%Cadiz 16%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almeria vs Cadiz?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.66, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 55%.

Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Cadiz?

Our model makes an Almeria win the most likely result at 68%. It projects an expected 2.8-1.2 scoreline for Almeria vs Cadiz.

What is the predicted score for Almeria vs Cadiz?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.77 for Almeria and 1.25 for Cadiz. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Almeria and Cadiz play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.