⚽ Segunda División

Almeria vs Cadiz Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Almeria vs Cadiz in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Almeria face Cadiz in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Almeria have 1 win from their last 3, while Cadiz have 0 wins from their last 3. In their last 2 meetings, Almeria won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Almeria win the most likely result at 68%, projecting a 2.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Almeria vs Cadiz with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.66

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.73 – 1.25 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.9%	2.3%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%
1	5.1%	6.4%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%
2	7.0%	8.7%	5.4%	2.3%	0.7%
3	6.3%	7.9%	5.0%	2.1%	0.6%
4	4.3%	5.4%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Almeria winDrawCadiz win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Almeria vs Cadiz is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.66, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates an Almeria win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 68%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (66%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 2.65 (+48.9% model value).

Best value

Over 3.5 at odds 2.65, 56% model probability, +48.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Almeria 68%Draw 16%Cadiz 16%

68%16%16%

68%

Almeria Win

76%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

+48.9%

Best value: Over 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Almeria and Cadiz. Wins shown from Almeria’s perspective: Almeria 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-05-25	Almeria	6 – 1	Cadiz	W
2023-08-26	Cadiz	1 – 1	Almeria	D

📈 Recent form

Almeria

Almeria come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Cordoba. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Sabadell.

LSabadell 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
LTenerife 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
WAlmeria 3-0 EldenseSegunda División
WCordoba 0-4 AlmeriaFriendlies Clubs
WAl-Nassr 0-2 AlmeriaFriendlies Clubs

Cadiz

Cadiz come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Granada CF. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to AD Ceuta FC.

DCadiz 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
DEldense 2-2 CadizSegunda División
WCadiz 2-0 Granada CFFriendlies Clubs
LCadiz 1-3 AD Ceuta FCFriendlies Clubs
LCadiz 0-1 LeicesterFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Almeria at 68% to win and Cadiz at 16%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes an Almeria win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Almeria Win	68%	@ 1.43	-2.8%
Cadiz Win	16%	@ 6.00	-5.6%
Draw	16%	@ 4.20	-31.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Almeria or Draw at 1.09 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Almeria or Draw	86%	@ 1.09	-6.3%
Cadiz or Draw	34%	@ 2.48	-15.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	56%	@ 2.65	+48.9%
Over 2.5	76%	@ 1.66	+25.9%
Over 1.5	91%	@ 1.19	+7.9%
Under 3.5	44%	@ 1.40	-38.7%
Under 2.5	24%	@ 2.04	-50.7%
Under 1.5	9%	@ 4.10	-61.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	66%	@ 1.79	+18.3%
BTTS No	34%	@ 1.85	-37.2%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	76%
Dixon-Coles	Home	60%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 2.06 for the home side, 0.82 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almeria vs Cadiz?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.66, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 2.65 (+48.9% value).

Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Cadiz?

Our model makes an Almeria win the most likely result at 68%. It projects an expected 2.7-1.2 scoreline for Almeria vs Cadiz.

What is the predicted score for Almeria vs Cadiz?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.73 for Almeria and 1.25 for Cadiz. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Almeria and Cadiz play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.