⚽ 2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Friday 04 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Arminia Bielefeld face FC St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Friday 04 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Arminia Bielefeld or Draw @ 1.32

87%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.31 – 0.92 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.0%	3.6%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
1	9.1%	8.4%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
2	10.6%	9.7%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	8.1%	7.5%	3.4%	1.1%	0.2%
4	4.7%	4.3%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Arminia Bielefeld winDrawFC St. Pauli win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Arminia Bielefeld or Draw at odds 1.32, the selection our model is most confident in at 87%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

63%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Energie Cottbus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at 1. FC Nürnberg.

L1. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
DSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-2 Arminia BielefeldDFB Pokal
WArminia Bielefeld 3-0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
LKarlsruher SC 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
DArminia Bielefeld 1-1 MSV DuisburgFriendlies Clubs

FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

LFC St. Pauli 1-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
LRot-Weiß Essen 2-0 FC St. PauliDFB Pokal
DHolstein Kiel 2-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
DFC St. Pauli 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
DFC St. Pauli 2-2 Deportivo La CorunaFriendlies Clubs

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Arminia Bielefeld or Draw at 1.32 (87% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Arminia Bielefeld or Draw	87%	@ 1.32	n/a
FC St. Pauli or Draw	32%	@ 1.60	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	83%	@ 1.17	n/a
Under 1.5	17%	@ 4.35	n/a
Over 2.5	63%	@ 1.62	n/a
Under 2.5	37%	@ 2.10	n/a
Over 3.5	40%	@ 2.60	n/a
Under 3.5	60%	@ 1.43	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.50	n/a
BTTS No	46%	@ 2.30	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	69%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 2.12 for the home side, 0.79 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli?

Our main pick is Arminia Bielefeld or Draw at odds 1.32, with 87% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.31 for Arminia Bielefeld and 0.92 for FC St. Pauli. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Arminia Bielefeld and FC St. Pauli play?

Kick-off is Friday 04 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.