Holstein Kiel

Sat 5 Sep2-2Finished

1. FC Nürnberg

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Holstein Kiel 2-2 1. FC Nürnberg

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Holstein Kiel face 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:00 UTC. Recent form: Holstein Kiel have no wins from their last 5, while 1. FC Nürnberg have 4 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.3-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

1. FC Nürnberg or Draw @ 1.50

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.34 – 1.73 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	8.0%	6.9%	4.0%	1.7%
1	6.2%	10.8%	9.3%	5.4%	2.3%
2	4.2%	7.2%	6.2%	3.6%	1.6%
3	1.9%	3.2%	2.8%	1.6%	0.7%
4	0.6%	1.1%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Holstein Kiel winDraw1. FC Nürnberg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is 1. FC Nürnberg or Draw at odds 1.50, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Holstein Kiel 31%Draw 22%1. FC Nürnberg 47%

31%22%47%

47%

1. FC Nürnberg Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at TSV 1860 München. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at 1. FC Heidenheim.

DHolstein Kiel 1-1 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
L1. FC Heidenheim 1-0 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
DHolstein Kiel 2-2 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
L1. FC Magdeburg 2-0 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
WTSV 1860 München 0-2 Holstein KielDFB Pokal

1. FC Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Arminia Bielefeld. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WKarlsruher SC 0-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
W1. FC Nürnberg 2-1 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
DHolstein Kiel 2-2 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
W1. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
DFC Viktoria Köln 1-1 1. FC NürnbergDFB Pokal

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Holstein Kiel at 31% to win and 1. FC Nürnberg at 47%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
1. FC Nürnberg Win	47%	34%	@ 2.75
Holstein Kiel Win	31%	39%	@ 2.38
Draw	22%	26%	@ 3.55

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is 1. FC Nürnberg or Draw at 1.50 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
1. FC Nürnberg or Draw	71%	61%	@ 1.50
Holstein Kiel or Draw	55%	66%	@ 1.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	79%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	63%	64%	@ 1.43
Over 2.5	59%	56%	@ 1.63
Under 2.5	41%	44%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	37%	36%	@ 2.55
Under 1.5	19%	21%	@ 4.30

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	60%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	41%	40%	@ 2.28

📈 How the market moved

Holstein Kiel 39%Draw 27%1. FC Nürnberg 35%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our model's main pick is 1. FC Nürnberg or Draw at odds 1.50, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our model makes a 1. FC Nürnberg win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.7 scoreline for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg.

What is the predicted score for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.34 for Holstein Kiel and 1.73 for 1. FC Nürnberg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Nürnberg play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.