Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden
Sat 5 Sep1-2Finished
VfL BochumVfL Bochum

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Result: Dynamo Dresden 1-2 VfL Bochum

Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum finished 1-2. VfL Bochum won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Dynamo Dresden face VfL Bochum in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: Dynamo Dresden have 2 wins from their last 5, while VfL Bochum have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Dynamo Dresden won 1, VfL Bochum won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.1-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.43
86%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.15 – 0.85 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 13.5% 11.5% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3%
1 15.6% 13.2% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3%
2 8.9% 7.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-0
Dynamo Dresden winDrawVfL Bochum win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.43, with a 86% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean under 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points no (64%).

📊 Key numbers

Dynamo Dresden 44%Draw 28%VfL Bochum 28%
44%28%28%
44%
Dynamo Dresden Win
68%
Under 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Dynamo Dresden and VfL Bochum. Wins shown from Dynamo Dresden’s perspective: Dynamo Dresden 1 · VfL Bochum 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-05 Dynamo Dresden 1 – 2 VfL Bochum L
2026-04-18 Dynamo Dresden 2 – 0 VfL Bochum W

📈 Recent form

Dynamo Dresden

Dynamo Dresden come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Westfalia Rhynern. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Hertha BSC.

  • LDynamo Dresden 1-2 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
  • DEintracht Braunschweig 2-2 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
  • LDynamo Dresden 1-2 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
  • L1. FC Heidenheim 5-3 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
  • WWestfalia Rhynern 0-6 Dynamo DresdenDFB Pokal
VfL Bochum

VfL Bochum come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Dynamo Dresden. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Hannover 96.

  • LHannover 96 2-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
  • DVfL Bochum 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
  • WDynamo Dresden 1-2 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
  • LVfL Bochum 0-1 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
  • WSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 VfL BochumDFB Pokal

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Dynamo Dresden at 44% to win and VfL Bochum at 28%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Dynamo Dresden Win 44% 47% @ 2.02
Draw 28% 26% @ 3.65
VfL Bochum Win 28% 28% @ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dynamo Dresden or Draw at 1.27 (71% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Dynamo Dresden or Draw 71% 72% @ 1.27
VfL Bochum or Draw 55% 53% @ 1.71

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 86% 65% @ 1.43
Under 2.5 68% 43% @ 2.14
Over 1.5 59% 79% @ 1.17
Under 1.5 41% 21% @ 4.40
Over 2.5 32% 57% @ 1.62
Over 3.5 14% 35% @ 2.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 64%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 64% 40% @ 2.25
BTTS Yes 36% 60% @ 1.52

📈 How the market moved

22%35%49%09/0209/0309/0409/05

Dynamo Dresden 45%Draw 26%VfL Bochum 29%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.43, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?

Our model makes a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.1-0.8 scoreline for Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum.

What is the predicted score for Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Dynamo Dresden and 0.85 for VfL Bochum. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dynamo Dresden and VfL Bochum play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.