Sat 5 Sep0-0Finished

⚽ Championship

Swansea vs Wrexham Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Swansea vs Wrexham in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Swansea 0-0 Wrexham

Swansea vs Wrexham finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Swansea face Wrexham in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Swansea have 2 wins from their last 3, while Wrexham have no wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Swansea win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Swansea vs Wrexham with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Swansea or Draw @ 1.33

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.57 – 1.10 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	7.6%	4.2%	1.5%	0.4%
1	10.9%	12.0%	6.6%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.5%	9.4%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.5%	4.9%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.8%	1.9%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Swansea winDrawWrexham win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Swansea vs Wrexham comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Swansea or Draw at odds 1.33, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Swansea win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Swansea 51%Draw 26%Wrexham 23%

51%26%23%

51%

Swansea Win

50%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Swansea

Swansea come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Burnley. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Southampton.

WLincoln 1-2 SwanseaChampionship
WSwansea 3-1 BurnleyChampionship
LSouthampton 3-1 SwanseaChampionship
DSwansea 0-0 WrexhamChampionship
WSwansea 2-0 WatfordChampionship

Wrexham

Wrexham come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Millwall. Their only defeat in that run was 0-6 at West Ham.

WWrexham 2-1 SouthamptonChampionship
LWest Ham 6-0 WrexhamChampionship
DWrexham 1-1 BurnleyChampionship
DSwansea 0-0 WrexhamChampionship
WMillwall 0-3 WrexhamChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Swansea

C. BurgessAchilles Tendon Injury
G. FrancoAnkle Injury
R. StewartInjury

Wrexham

N. BroadheadNot in squad
L. CacaceCalf Injury
S. RevanHamstring Injury
B. SheafNot in squad
G. ThomasonThigh Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Swansea at 51% to win and Wrexham at 23%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Swansea win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Swansea Win	51%	43%	@ 2.18
Draw	26%	28%	@ 3.35
Wrexham Win	23%	30%	@ 3.15

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Swansea or Draw at 1.33 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Swansea or Draw	76%	70%	@ 1.33
Wrexham or Draw	48%	57%	@ 1.65

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	73%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	72%	73%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	50%	52%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	50%	48%	@ 1.93
Over 3.5	28%	27%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	25%	27%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	53%	@ 1.74
BTTS No	47%	47%	@ 1.98

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Swansea or Wrexham is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Swansea +1.5	91%	86%	@ 1.10
Swansea +1.25	88%	86%	1.10
Swansea +1	84%	85%	1.12
Swansea +0.75	80%	77%	1.23
Wrexham +1.75	76%	83%	1.15
Swansea +0.5	76%	71%	@ 1.33
Wrexham +1.5	72%	77%	1.22
Swansea +0.25	70%	67%	1.42
Wrexham +1.25	66%	75%	1.27
Swansea 0	64%	61%	@ 1.57
Wrexham +1	60%	72%	1.33
Swansea -0.25	58%	52%	@ 1.87
Wrexham +0.75	54%	63%	1.52
Swansea -0.5	52%	44%	@ 2.17
Wrexham +0.5	48%	56%	1.71
Swansea -0.75	46%	37%	@ 2.54
Wrexham +0.25	42%	48%	2.00
Swansea -1	40%	28%	@ 3.35
Wrexham 0	36%	39%	2.42
Swansea -1.25	34%	25%	@ 3.78
Wrexham -0.25	30%	33%	2.88
Swansea -1.5	28%	23%	@ 4.15
Wrexham -0.5	24%	29%	3.31
Swansea -1.75	24%	17%	@ 5.50
Wrexham -0.75	20%	23%	4.22
Wrexham -1	16%	15%	@ 6.40
Wrexham -1.25	12%	14%	6.80
Wrexham -1.5	9%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

Swansea 44%Draw 28%Wrexham 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Swansea vs Wrexham?

Our model's main pick is Swansea or Draw at odds 1.33, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Swansea vs Wrexham?

Our model makes a Swansea win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Swansea vs Wrexham.

What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Wrexham?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.57 for Swansea and 1.10 for Wrexham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Swansea and Wrexham play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.