Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis
Mon 7 Sep0-2Finished
Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

⚽ Super League 1

Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908 Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908 in the Super League 1. Kick-off Monday 07 September 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Result: Asteras Tripolis 0-2 Iraklis 1908

Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908 finished 0-2. Iraklis 1908 won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Asteras Tripolis face Iraklis 1908 in the Super League 1, kicking off Monday 07 September 2026, 15:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908 with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Asteras Tripolis or Draw @ 1.25
78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.63 – 0.91 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.9% 7.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
1 12.9% 11.7% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4%
2 10.5% 9.5% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3%
3 5.7% 5.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-0
Asteras Tripolis winDrawIraklis 1908 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908 comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Asteras Tripolis or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points no (52%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

53%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Asteras Tripolis

Asteras Tripolis come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Iraklis 1908.

  • DOFI 2-2 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
  • DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
  • DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 Aris ThessalonikisCup
  • LAsteras Tripolis 0-2 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
  • LAsteras Tripolis 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
Iraklis 1908

Iraklis 1908 come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Asteras Tripolis. Their only defeat in that run was 0-4 at AEK Athens FC.

  • DAris Thessalonikis 0-0 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
  • DIraklis 1908 1-1 AtromitosSuper League 1
  • WAsteras Tripolis 0-2 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
  • DVolos NFC 1-1 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
  • LAEK Athens FC 4-0 Iraklis 1908Super League 1

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Asteras Tripolis or Draw at 1.25 (78% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Asteras Tripolis or Draw 78% 74% @ 1.25
Iraklis 1908 or Draw 45% 55% @ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 75% 75% @ 1.22
Over 1.5 72% 69% @ 1.32
Under 2.5 53% 55% @ 1.67
Over 2.5 47% 45% @ 2.05
Under 1.5 28% 31% @ 3.00
Over 3.5 25% 25% @ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 52% 50% @ 1.83
BTTS Yes 48% 50% @ 1.84

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Asteras Tripolis or Iraklis 1908 is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Asteras Tripolis +1 86% 86% 1.10
Asteras Tripolis +0.75 82% 83% 1.15
Asteras Tripolis +0.5 78% 77% 1.23
Iraklis 1908 +2 78% 86% 1.10
Iraklis 1908 +1.75 74% 79% 1.19
Asteras Tripolis +0.25 72% 74% 1.29
Iraklis 1908 +1.5 70% 74% 1.28
Asteras Tripolis 0 67% 69% 1.38
Iraklis 1908 +1.25 64% 70% 1.35
Asteras Tripolis -0.25 61% 58% 1.64
Iraklis 1908 +1 58% 66% 1.44
Asteras Tripolis -0.5 55% 50% 1.92
Iraklis 1908 +0.75 52% 57% 1.67
Asteras Tripolis -0.75 48% 43% 2.21
Iraklis 1908 +0.5 45% 50% 1.92
Asteras Tripolis -1 42% 34% 2.79
Iraklis 1908 +0.25 39% 42% 2.29
Asteras Tripolis -1.25 36% 30% 3.17
Iraklis 1908 0 33% 31% 3.10
Asteras Tripolis -1.5 30% 26% 3.62
Iraklis 1908 -0.25 28% 26% 3.62
Asteras Tripolis -1.75 26% 21% 4.50
Asteras Tripolis -2 22% 14% 7.00
Iraklis 1908 -0.5 22% 23% 4.20
Iraklis 1908 -0.75 18% 17% 5.50
Iraklis 1908 -1 14% 14% 7.00

📈 How the market moved

19%36%54%09/0309/0409/0509/0609/07

Asteras Tripolis 50%Draw 28%Iraklis 1908 23%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908?

Our model's main pick is Asteras Tripolis or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.63 for Asteras Tripolis and 0.91 for Iraklis 1908. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Asteras Tripolis and Iraklis 1908 play?

Kick-off is Monday 07 September 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.