⚽ UEFA Champions League
Lille vs Real Betis Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lille vs Real Betis in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 08 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Lille 2-3 Real Betis
Lille vs Real Betis finished 2-3. Real Betis won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Lille face Real Betis in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 08 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lille win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 2.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lille vs Real Betis with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Lille vs Real Betis comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lille win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (59%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Lille come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Estac Troyes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Nice.
- LNice 2-1 LilleLigue 1
- WLille 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
- LLille 2-3 Real BetisUEFA Champions League
- WToulouse 0-1 LilleLigue 1
- DLille 2-2 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
Real Betis come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Getafe. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DDeportivo La Coruña 1-1 Real BetisLa Liga
- WReal Betis 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
- WVillarreal 1-2 Real BetisLa Liga
- WLille 2-3 Real BetisUEFA Champions League
- WReal Betis 1-0 Real MadridLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. BodartOff the roster
- H. IgamaneKnee Injury
- A. EzzalzouliIllness
- D. LlorenteBroken nose
- I. LosadaNot in squad
- A. RuibalKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Lille at 47% to win and Real Betis at 23%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Lille win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille Win | 47% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Draw | 31% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
| Real Betis Win | 23% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lille or Draw at 1.33 (74% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille or Draw | 74% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Real Betis or Draw | 50% | 58% | @ 1.64 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 75% | @ 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 51% | @ 1.87 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 49% | @ 1.92 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 56% | @ 1.68 |
| BTTS No | 41% | 44% | @ 2.14 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Lille or Real Betis is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille +1.5 | 90% | – | 1.09 |
| Lille +1.25 | 86% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Lille +1 | 82% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Lille +0.75 | 78% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Real Betis +1.75 | 78% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Lille +0.5 | 74% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Real Betis +1.5 | 74% | 77% | 1.21 |
| Real Betis +1.25 | 68% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Lille +0.25 | 68% | 66% | 1.45 |
| Real Betis +1 | 62% | 72% | 1.33 |
| Lille 0 | 62% | 59% | 1.60 |
| Real Betis +0.75 | 56% | 63% | 1.51 |
| Lille -0.25 | 56% | 50% | @ 1.94 |
| Real Betis +0.5 | 50% | 56% | 1.67 |
| Lille -0.5 | 50% | 44% | @ 2.17 |
| Real Betis +0.25 | 44% | 50% | 1.94 |
| Lille -0.75 | 44% | 37% | @ 2.57 |
| Real Betis 0 | 38% | 41% | 2.33 |
| Lille -1 | 38% | 28% | @ 3.37 |
| Real Betis -0.25 | 32% | 34% | 2.79 |
| Lille -1.25 | 32% | 25% | @ 3.79 |
| Lille -1.5 | 26% | 23% | @ 4.12 |
| Real Betis -0.5 | 26% | 30% | 3.13 |
| Lille -1.75 | 22% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Real Betis -0.75 | 22% | 24% | 4.01 |
| Real Betis -1 | 18% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Real Betis -1.25 | 14% | 15% | 6.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lille vs Real Betis?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Lille vs Real Betis?
Our model makes a Lille win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.1 scoreline for Lille vs Real Betis.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Real Betis?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.13 for Lille and 1.09 for Real Betis. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Lille and Real Betis play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 08 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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