⚽ Serie B

Cremonese vs Padova Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cremonese vs Padova in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Cremonese face Padova in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 17:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cremonese vs Padova with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

75%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.49 – 1.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.8%	8.1%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%
1	10.1%	12.1%	7.3%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.5%	9.0%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
3	3.7%	4.5%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Cremonese winDrawPadova win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cremonese vs Padova is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

50%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Cremonese

Cremonese come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Parma. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Modena.

WParma 0-2 CremoneseCoppa Italia
LCremonese 0-3 ModenaSerie B
LEmpoli 1-0 CremoneseSerie B
WCremonese 2-0 SampdoriaCoppa Italia
DCremonese 0-0 LumezzaneFriendlies Clubs

Padova

Padova come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Cittadella. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Udinese.

DPadova 1-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
WPisa 0-1 PadovaSerie B
LUdinese 1-0 PadovaCoppa Italia
DMonza 3-3 PadovaFriendlies Clubs
WCittadella 0-2 PadovaFriendlies Clubs

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cremonese or Draw at 1.22 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Cremonese or Draw	70%	@ 1.22	n/a
Padova or Draw	56%	@ 1.91	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.30	n/a
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.40	n/a
Over 2.5	50%	@ 2.00	n/a
Under 2.5	50%	@ 1.80	n/a
Over 3.5	28%	@ 3.40	n/a
Under 3.5	72%	@ 1.30	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.91	n/a
BTTS No	46%	@ 1.91	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	44%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.45 for the home side, 1.16 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cremonese vs Padova?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 75% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for Cremonese vs Padova?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.49 for Cremonese and 1.20 for Padova. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cremonese and Padova play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.